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Description: Realestate #youtube #yahoofinance National Association of Home Builders Chief Economist Robert Dietz joins Yahoo Finance ...
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Text duration start ents sentiment
starts Rose a little over two percent 3.84 Jump to 6 PERSON Rose
number one the pace of completions at a 4.98 Jump to 23.4 CARDINAL number one
15-month low offsetting the housing 4.92 Jump to 25.859 DATE 15-month
starts that we saw at a seven month High 4.379 Jump to 28.38 DATE seven month
now is is less than a three-month Supply 4.32 Jump to 47.7 DATE three-month
fact we have seen now uh five straight 5.401 Jump to 58.739 CARDINAL five
believes there's about one and a half 3.781 Jump to 107.759 CARDINAL about one and a half
million homes there are larger estimates 4.2 Jump to 109.14 CARDINAL million
out there Freddie Mac believes it's four 4.02 Jump to 111.54 ORG Freddie Mac CARDINAL four
million homes but on the single family 4.62 Jump to 113.34 CARDINAL million
building a little bit more than 1.1 4.38 Jump to 117.96 CARDINAL more than 1.1
million single-family homes a year in 3.901 Jump to 119.939 CARDINAL million DATE a year
housing deficit right now uh say 2023 4.8 Jump to 123.84 DATE 2023
somewhere between 800 and 900 000 homes 5.099 Jump to 128.64 CARDINAL between 800
first-time home buyers 3.601 Jump to 138.239 ORDINAL first
successful because one of the things 3.6 Jump to 171.84 CARDINAL one
rates near or right below six percent 5.58 Jump to 179.04 PERCENT six percent
interest rates are right at 6.4 percent 5.58 Jump to 184.62 PERCENT 6.4 percent
year and that six percent range so the 3.959 Jump to 200.64 PERCENT six percent
of homeowners sitting on two and three 4.5 Jump to 209.58 CARDINAL two
material costs are up 35 to 40 percent 5.039 Jump to 224.28 PERCENT 35 to 40 percent
right around 50. the Breakeven level 3.901 Jump to 246.659 CARDINAL Breakeven
concerns uh you know one that's that's 4.44 Jump to 260.699
Builder financing about 85 percent of 4.56 Jump to 279 PERCENT about 85 percent
right now is above 10 percent so that 4.981 Jump to 288.479 PERCENT 10 percent
five percent decline in deposits 4.679 Jump to 305.46 PERCENT five percent
yeah a little bit Yeah the five percent 4.201 Jump to 307.979 PERCENT the five percent
than 50 percent of it is in the South 4.799 Jump to 346.62 LOC South
three of the top five uh top building 4.74 Jump to 348.84 CARDINAL three CARDINAL five
markets are in Texas three of the top 4.321 Jump to 351.419 GPE Texas CARDINAL three
ten are in Florida and and there are 3.6 Jump to 353.58 CARDINAL ten GPE Florida
2022 we expect them to rebound because 4.441 Jump to 361.139 DATE 2022
when you look to 2024 are we likely to 6.241 Jump to 392.759 DATE 2024
see the bounce back then in the first 4.139 Jump to 396.84 ORDINAL first
maybe one additional rate hike but 4.26 Jump to 408.24 CARDINAL one
30-year fixed rate mortgage will settle 4.74 Jump to 412.5 DATE 30-year
in near that six percent level by the 4.619 Jump to 415.02 PERCENT six percent
after about three quarters of 3.84 Jump to 423.479 CARDINAL about three quarters
second half of this year and that means 5.16 Jump to 429.24
2024 is going to see a year of growth 6.539 Jump to 431.16 DATE 2024 DATE a year
after years of decline in 22 and 2023 6.359 Jump to 434.4 DATE years CARDINAL 22 DATE 2023
and as I said earlier 2025 through 2030 5.101 Jump to 437.699 DATE earlier 2025 DATE 2030