a key inflation gauge up 4.9 percent |
4.741 |
Jump to 7.379 |
PERCENT
4.9 percent
|
lower than March's five percent figure |
4.62 |
Jump to 12.12 |
DATE
March
PERCENT
five percent
|
prefers Rose 2.3 on an annual basis |
5.7 |
Jump to 18.6 |
CARDINAL
2.3
DATE
annual
|
increase since January of 2021. now |
6.84 |
Jump to 24.3 |
DATE
January of 2021
|
markets they are pricing and 84.7 chance |
5.88 |
Jump to 27.3 |
CARDINAL
84.7
|
with one month to go until the fed's |
5.099 |
Jump to 34.8 |
DATE
one month
ORG
fed
|
raising its Target on the S P 500 Barry |
4.32 |
Jump to 42.12 |
ORG
Target
ORG
the S P 500
|
well back in uh October 24th of 2022 uh |
7.26 |
Jump to 60.719 |
DATE
October 24th of 2022
|
S P 500 would rise as much as 600 points |
7.261 |
Jump to 67.979 |
CARDINAL
as much as
CARDINAL
600
|
from at the time it was around 35 75 35 |
6.9 |
Jump to 71.52 |
|
80. uh we thought it would do it in six |
5.16 |
Jump to 75.24 |
CARDINAL
80
CARDINAL
six
|
first 500 points of that move which |
5.04 |
Jump to 82.92 |
ORDINAL
first
CARDINAL
500
|
um that that first 500 points was the |
5.879 |
Jump to 94.38 |
ORDINAL
first
CARDINAL
500
|
but the next few hundred points 250 |
6.24 |
Jump to 107.28 |
DATE
the next few hundred
CARDINAL
250
|
points or so to 4 400 by the summer |
6 |
Jump to 110.1 |
CARDINAL
so to 4 400
DATE
summer
|
households on 1.2 trillion dollars of |
5.579 |
Jump to 130.8 |
MONEY
1.2 trillion dollars
|
problems probably by the fourth quarter |
4.26 |
Jump to 149.4 |
DATE
the fourth quarter
|
that two things have happened one |
3.299 |
Jump to 191.94 |
CARDINAL
two
|
percent of companies in the S P 500 |
4.621 |
Jump to 197.099 |
ORG
the S P
|
first quarter and when that has happened |
6.06 |
Jump to 208.14 |
DATE
first quarter
|
in the last 20 years uh the S P 500 on a |
7.021 |
Jump to 210.239 |
DATE
the last 20 years
ORG
the S P 500
|
it's doing it again the second thing is |
7.259 |
Jump to 217.26 |
ORDINAL
second
|
is about 5 5.25 and uh that's from the |
9.241 |
Jump to 224.519 |
CARDINAL
about 5 5.25
|
inflation is a little less than one |
3.54 |
Jump to 238.86 |
|
fed Cycles in the last 50 years since |
6.839 |
Jump to 242.4 |
PERSON
fed Cycles
DATE
the last 50 years
|
1971 typically ended at over two percent |
6.401 |
Jump to 245.299 |
DATE
1971
PERCENT
over two percent
|
just came from a sub-basement level five |
4.68 |
Jump to 254.22 |
CARDINAL
five
|
in other words we were at minus five |
3.96 |
Jump to 256.739 |
CARDINAL
minus five
|
percent five and a half percent interest |
4.799 |
Jump to 258.9 |
DATE
five and a half percent
|
above zero the other rate that matters |
4.68 |
Jump to 267 |
|
is What's called the 10-year real yield |
4.32 |
Jump to 269.46 |
DATE
10-year
|
or 10-year treasury inflation protected |
4.739 |
Jump to 271.68 |
DATE
10-year
ORG
treasury
|
for valuation uh that is around 1.2 uh |
6.421 |
Jump to 276.419 |
CARDINAL
1.2
|
crisis era it was always around 2 to 2.5 |
7.74 |
Jump to 282.84 |
CARDINAL
around 2
CARDINAL
2.5
|
barbell the two |
4.8 |
Jump to 359.82 |
CARDINAL
two
|