top picks for 2022 |
7.921 |
Jump to 23.039 |
|
|
over these next um 11 10 and a half |
5.279 |
Jump to 47.44 |
|
|
11 months so |
3.84 |
Jump to 50.96 |
|
|
we've got about 20 analysts |
5.12 |
Jump to 55.84 |
|
|
two years now but looking forward to |
3.68 |
Jump to 65.36 |
|
|
15 years of analytical experience |
7.68 |
Jump to 76.24 |
|
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and over 10 years of of working at argus |
7.761 |
Jump to 79.759 |
|
|
six-point system that we use at argus to |
7.119 |
Jump to 95.68 |
|
|
we cover about 500 leading companies us |
6.0 |
Jump to 102.799 |
|
|
the market was up about 28 last year and |
6.719 |
Jump to 135.52 |
|
|
up about 30 percent now of course |
5.121 |
Jump to 142.239 |
|
|
one more word of introduction |
5.519 |
Jump to 165.44 |
|
|
but in that year outlook for 2022 |
5.521 |
Jump to 185.519 |
|
|
much quieter year than in 2021 when |
6.8 |
Jump to 223.04 |
|
|
stocks as i mentioned rose 28 percent |
4.64 |
Jump to 226.879 |
|
|
harder to achieve in 2022 |
5.521 |
Jump to 231.519 |
|
|
these first few weeks |
4.479 |
Jump to 237.04 |
DATE
these first few weeks
|
|
facing the market in 2022 so they were |
3.601 |
Jump to 250.879 |
|
|
so so great jim and and one more note |
5.519 |
Jump to 294.96 |
|
|
there and we'll go one by one |
6.239 |
Jump to 323.68 |
|
|
and our first stock idea is is cortesva |
6.961 |
Jump to 329.919 |
|
|
and the materials sector is one of our |
5.44 |
Jump to 350.8 |
|
|
in 2022 |
3.521 |
Jump to 361.199 |
|
|
back in 2019 |
4.239 |
Jump to 378.96 |
|
|
particularly in 2022 |
6.639 |
Jump to 408.56 |
|
|
on soybeans they're selling for over 600 |
4.241 |
Jump to 423.039 |
|
|
and that's up from 400 in 2020 and about |
6.96 |
Jump to 427.28 |
|
|
360 in 2019 |
4.04 |
Jump to 431.24 |
|
|
shares and that's one of our top picks |
5.359 |
Jump to 473.68 |
|
|
for 2022. |
5.361 |
Jump to 476.319 |
|
|
one of the things we do when we analyze |
4.081 |
Jump to 489.919 |
|
|
how about over the past five years |
5.6 |
Jump to 504.24 |
|
|
if we can check all those three boxes |
5.68 |
Jump to 507.039 |
|
|
nucor is one of those stocks so it's a |
8.161 |
Jump to 521.279 |
|
|
great point one to be able to make |
5.839 |
Jump to 529.44 |
|
|
steel prices are up 12 |
5.279 |
Jump to 541.12 |
|
|
20 |
4.161 |
Jump to 561.279 |
|
|
going to be increasing its dividend 20 |
4.32 |
Jump to 572.0 |
|
|
four billion dollar share buyback |
3.76 |
Jump to 581.12 |
MONEY
four billion dollar
|
|
offer some value with a 1.7 yield |
7.041 |
Jump to 593.519 |
|
|
1.3 |
2.48 |
Jump to 600.56 |
|
|
with one pick we have in the |
3.279 |
Jump to 624.0 |
|
|
sector on the one end of it |
4.88 |
Jump to 636.88 |
|
|
sector was created in 2018 so these |
5.599 |
Jump to 649.36 |
|
|
one from the other side of the barbell |
3.281 |
Jump to 677.839 |
|
|
growing rapidly in 5g due to the |
4.0 |
Jump to 691.68 |
|
|
with at least three powerful powerful |
4.401 |
Jump to 698.399 |
|
|
franchises first would be obviously |
3.04 |
Jump to 700.88 |
|
|
only one |
3.521 |
Jump to 713.839 |
|
|
uh so one thing about |
3.84 |
Jump to 718.88 |
|
|
advertising has got two major growth |
3.28 |
Jump to 732.72 |
|
|
drivers first |
3.841 |
Jump to 734.639 |
|
|
probably the third or fourth major cloud |
4.64 |
Jump to 762.48 |
|
|
uh meta platforms is the one with a big |
3.599 |
Jump to 797.92 |
|
|
around that four percent level |
4.24 |
Jump to 818.8 |
|
|
but one thing that's up more than hourly |
4.32 |
Jump to 823.04 |
|
|
cautious as well our first pick |
4.0 |
Jump to 833.519 |
|
|
it's one of our higher yielding names in |
5.439 |
Jump to 891.76 |
|
|
with approximately four percent dividend |
4.479 |
Jump to 898.48 |
PERCENT
approximately four percent
|
|
the second half given all the industry |
5.199 |
Jump to 1023.12 |
|
|
so this is our one of our best picks uh |
3.439 |
Jump to 1144.48 |
|
|
covered 19 accelerated growth for this |
4.8 |
Jump to 1197.44 |
|
|
and so let's move on to one more uh |
5.041 |
Jump to 1267.919 |
|
|
one more name in the space which is the |
2.879 |
Jump to 1271.28 |
|
|
analyst one of his favorite picks |
3.04 |
Jump to 1283.36 |
|
|
cove at 19 crisis |
3.84 |
Jump to 1291.6 |
|
|
at three times they raise their dividend |
3.12 |
Jump to 1369.52 |
|
|
yielding in that kind of 1.5 to 2 |
4.799 |
Jump to 1373.76 |
|
|
so let's let's do that one walmart is |
3.04 |
Jump to 1400.72 |
|
|
board it is one of the largest employers |
4.48 |
Jump to 1478.24 |
|
|
store the first thing you see are the |
4.401 |
Jump to 1530.559 |
|
|
about one and a half percent |
3.601 |
Jump to 1550.159 |
|
|
the energy sector is one of the smaller |
6.24 |
Jump to 1563.6 |
|
|
sectors in the s p 500 at about three |
4.88 |
Jump to 1566.24 |
|
|
delivering performance in 2022 |
7.921 |
Jump to 1573.679 |
|
|
it's up 24 year-to-date while the broad |
6.561 |
Jump to 1577.919 |
|
|
market is down eight percent |
5.679 |
Jump to 1581.6 |
|
|
is a good one to focus on |
5.919 |
Jump to 1607.76 |
|
|
west texas crude is just about 90 |
6.559 |
Jump to 1616.24 |
|
|
right now and that was below 30 at the |
6.321 |
Jump to 1619.679 |
|
|
um 90 |
3.28 |
Jump to 1629.44 |
|
|
outside of saudi arabia at about 35 |
4.88 |
Jump to 1648.48 |
|
|
the gulf of mexico you know you're 60 70 |
6.08 |
Jump to 1656.0 |
|
|
80 a barrel which is profitable now |
5.841 |
Jump to 1659.039 |
|
|
you're about a hundred dollars a barrel |
6.08 |
Jump to 1664.88 |
MONEY
about a hundred dollars
|
|
almost 30 years in a row |
4.8 |
Jump to 1716.32 |
DATE
almost 30 years in a row
|
|
dividend yield is right around four |
3.52 |
Jump to 1753.039 |
|
|
financial services is about 12 |
5.281 |
Jump to 1790.799 |
|
|
uh pnc is is one of our top ideas |
6.081 |
Jump to 1802.399 |
|
|
and it's expecting more than 20 |
7.041 |
Jump to 1848.799 |
|
|
eps accretion this year in 2022 |
5.921 |
Jump to 1851.919 |
|
|
um and with a nine percent increase in |
4.559 |
Jump to 1876.96 |
|
|
and buying back almost three billion |
3.76 |
Jump to 1881.519 |
MONEY
almost three billion
|
|
stocks the past 10 years |
4.08 |
Jump to 1897.12 |
|
|
group one is pnc financial with a p e of |
6.64 |
Jump to 1905.6 |
|
|
about 14 compared to the market p e of |
4.561 |
Jump to 1909.279 |
|
|
20 to 21. |
5.679 |
Jump to 1912.24 |
|
|
the next one |
4.721 |
Jump to 1919.919 |
|
|
eight times earnings |
3.12 |
Jump to 1929.919 |
|
|
four percent yield |
4.321 |
Jump to 1933.039 |
|
|
mid teens 14 and a half percent average |
5.92 |
Jump to 1971.84 |
DATE
14 and a half percent
|
|
over the past 10 years and that compares |
5.439 |
Jump to 1975.12 |
|
|
to the industry average of nine percent |
5.6 |
Jump to 1977.76 |
|
|
a value idea at eight times earnings |
6.64 |
Jump to 2007.519 |
|
|
with a four percent yield |
6.241 |
Jump to 2010.399 |
|
|
the first two we've looked at have been |
4.881 |
Jump to 2024.559 |
|
|
in 2021 it was one of the out performers |
6.799 |
Jump to 2050.56 |
|
|
it rose more than 45 percent |
6.72 |
Jump to 2053.76 |
PERCENT
more than 45 percent
|
|
so forth that's about a 50 |
4.801 |
Jump to 2072.399 |
|
|
70 |
3.039 |
Jump to 2093.04 |
|
|
growing its dividends at least 10 |
4.32 |
Jump to 2127.68 |
|
|
over the past five or ten years again a |
5.28 |
Jump to 2132.0 |
DATE
the past five or ten years
|
|
is one of the bigger sectors |
5.44 |
Jump to 2152.96 |
|
|
in the stock market it's about 13 |
5.681 |
Jump to 2155.119 |
|
|
uh catalan is one maybe you haven't |
4.32 |
Jump to 2162.56 |
|
|
sector over the next five to ten years |
5.2 |
Jump to 2198.8 |
DATE
the next five to ten years
|
|
up 43 year-over-year revenues were up 35 |
7.201 |
Jump to 2215.599 |
|
|
this gym is one of those growth stocks |
3.92 |
Jump to 2220.64 |
|
|
it's trading at 13 times earnings below |
6.399 |
Jump to 2249.68 |
|
|
the market multiple it's got a two |
4.72 |
Jump to 2253.52 |
|
|
than the 1.3 percent market multiple |
5.68 |
Jump to 2258.24 |
|
|
2022 outlook it gave an early year |
5.68 |
Jump to 2266.48 |
|
|
reported their fourth quarter results |
5.439 |
Jump to 2272.16 |
DATE
their fourth quarter
|
|
trends at cvs health corp and one of our |
7.041 |
Jump to 2277.599 |
|
|
top healthcare ideas for 2022 |
6.799 |
Jump to 2280.8 |
|
|
uh our next one mckesson corp |
5.041 |
Jump to 2287.599 |
|
|
jim here's one where we've already |
4.8 |
Jump to 2290.4 |
|
|
in 2022. we have a new target price of |
6.4 |
Jump to 2298.16 |
|
|
mckesson of 310 now |
6.0 |
Jump to 2301.359 |
|
|
a great business with covet 19. it's |
4.881 |
Jump to 2307.359 |
|
|
cova 19 because everybody who's been |
4.24 |
Jump to 2312.24 |
|
|
analysts and investors to 30 earnings |
5.36 |
Jump to 2325.44 |
|
|
growth in 2022 |
5.04 |
Jump to 2328.48 |
|
|
hiked its dividend 12 a couple of months |
3.76 |
Jump to 2330.8 |
|
|
offers value with a pe of of 11 times so |
7.921 |
Jump to 2337.119 |
|
|
and one more healthcare idea |
5.12 |
Jump to 2345.04 |
|
|
and jim this is kind of one where you |
4.32 |
Jump to 2350.16 |
|
|
a loss last year to over 28 |
4.961 |
Jump to 2362.079 |
|
|
in in 2022 |
4.96 |
Jump to 2367.04 |
|
|
six times those earnings and so for six |
6.88 |
Jump to 2373.52 |
|
|
modernity delivered 800 million covet 19 |
6.72 |
Jump to 2383.68 |
|
|
shots in 2021 we think it's going to be |
6.8 |
Jump to 2386.88 |
|
|
3 billion in 2022 |
5.679 |
Jump to 2390.4 |
|
|
weeks that it's trading at only six |
4.64 |
Jump to 2425.04 |
|
|
more than 80 percent |
4.8 |
Jump to 2443.68 |
PERCENT
more than 80 percent
|
|
from 2021 to 2022 |
5.44 |
Jump to 2448.48 |
|
|
the three months one year and five years |
4.24 |
Jump to 2501.76 |
DATE
the three months one year
|
|
they're doing right and one of the |
4.24 |
Jump to 2513.839 |
|
|
so one more industrial idea jim and that |
4.72 |
Jump to 2521.44 |
|
|
bipartisan trillion dollar |
5.12 |
Jump to 2536.8 |
|
|
be spent over the next five to ten years |
5.92 |
Jump to 2544.96 |
DATE
the next five to ten years
|
|
we have one uh reit pick today and that |
5.361 |
Jump to 2591.599 |
|
|
80 luxury hotel properties about 4 500 |
5.52 |
Jump to 2640.319 |
|
|
they recently posted their third quarter |
2.88 |
Jump to 2692.64 |
|
|
also one of the only uh this is the only |
4.08 |
Jump to 2702.88 |
|
|
than 20 to 25 percent of the market |
4.881 |
Jump to 2753.839 |
|
|
it's currently almost 30 percent of the |
4.0 |
Jump to 2756.96 |
PERCENT
almost 30 percent
|
|
approximately five percent |
4.159 |
Jump to 2760.96 |
PERCENT
approximately five percent
|
|
a third of the market and i think the |
4.559 |
Jump to 2771.04 |
|
|
technology companies used to sell to one |
3.601 |
Jump to 2775.599 |
|
|
maybe about 12 15 12 years ago |
5.839 |
Jump to 2885.52 |
|
|
that into mid 20 eps growth |
4.4 |
Jump to 3076.4 |
|
|
okay and one of the other uh names we |
4.401 |
Jump to 3101.359 |
|
|
they they led in 3g |
4.8 |
Jump to 3124.4 |
|
|
they led in 4g and now they are really |
5.04 |
Jump to 3126.96 |
|
|
benefiting as 5g goes mainstream |
4.96 |
Jump to 3129.2 |
|
|
leading the market in this case the 5g |
4.319 |
Jump to 3194.8 |
|
|
review of those stocks one last stock to |
5.28 |
Jump to 3210.079 |
|
|
sector earlier being three percent of |
5.041 |
Jump to 3227.839 |
|
|
it's about three percent of the market |
6.0 |
Jump to 3232.88 |
PERCENT
about three percent
|
|
about 0.4 so it's 60 |
6.96 |
Jump to 3247.92 |
|
|
by having a utility stock or two |
5.439 |
Jump to 3254.88 |
|
|
market falls seven percent or five |
4.72 |
Jump to 3264.8 |
|
|
it's got a dividend yield of three and a |
3.76 |
Jump to 3281.76 |
|
|
yield of 3.1 percent |
6.0 |
Jump to 3287.839 |
|
|
it's got a price to book ratio of 1.9 |
6.881 |
Jump to 3290.079 |
|
|
versus the industry's average of 2.2 |
6.641 |
Jump to 3293.839 |
|
|
and it's got a p e ratio of 18 |
6.32 |
Jump to 3296.96 |
|
|
industry is 23. so jim the utilities can |
7.2 |
Jump to 3303.28 |
|
|
high level one |
3.039 |
Jump to 3343.28 |
|
|
you know the rise of the internet 5g |
4.399 |
Jump to 3437.92 |
|
|
one is what possible companies |
6.64 |
Jump to 3461.04 |
|
|
a theme portfolio we have six different |
6.321 |
Jump to 3559.599 |
|
|
one of them is our dividend growth theme |
5.76 |
Jump to 3567.28 |
|
|
december there are 30 stocks in that |
5.84 |
Jump to 3573.04 |
|
|
depot advance auto that's one of the |
4.401 |
Jump to 3608.079 |
|
|
doesn't drop you just in one sector but |
4.8 |
Jump to 3614.799 |
|
|
set of goals in the next two years but |
5.519 |
Jump to 3681.04 |
|
|
you know about five percent higher |
3.839 |
Jump to 3704.24 |
PERCENT
about five percent
|
|
or eight percent higher if you're |
3.441 |
Jump to 3708.079 |
|
|
the market in march of 2020 on a real |
4.799 |
Jump to 3716.0 |
|
|
deep sell-off or whether you bought five |
3.679 |
Jump to 3718.64 |
|
|
and ten percent corrections that you're |
3.681 |
Jump to 3720.799 |
|
|
couple more questions here's one |
5.359 |
Jump to 3728.96 |
|
|
spot probably between one percent and |
4.56 |
Jump to 3771.2 |
PERCENT
between one percent
|
|
two and a half percent |
5.6 |
Jump to 3773.92 |
DATE
two and a half percent
|
|
10 a year for five years in a row some |
5.279 |
Jump to 3795.76 |
|
|
one of the one of the thoughts is to |
5.919 |
Jump to 3813.44 |
|
|
that are yielding eight percent nine |
4.32 |
Jump to 3836.16 |
|
|
percent or or ten percent for two |
2.96 |
Jump to 3838.48 |
|
|
one as interest rates rise |
4.48 |
Jump to 3841.44 |
|
|
and two the dividend yields above you |
5.439 |
Jump to 3848.16 |
|
|
know seven eight percent may well signal |
5.52 |
Jump to 3850.96 |
PERCENT
seven eight percent
|
|
one to two and a half percent should be |
4.96 |
Jump to 3864.24 |
|
|
12 months |
4.639 |
Jump to 3923.44 |
|
|
and that tends to be at least a 10 to 12 |
5.68 |
Jump to 3924.72 |
CARDINAL
at least a 10 to 12
|
|
to 15 percent increase |
4.161 |
Jump to 3928.079 |
|
|
for 2022 you're probably going to see |
6.48 |
Jump to 3954.48 |
|
|
up to 600 thousand you get a lot more |
4.959 |
Jump to 4022.16 |
CARDINAL
up to 600 thousand
|
|
john we went after 25 stocks in a very |
3.361 |
Jump to 4027.119 |
|
|
revenue is under two billion and a |
3.841 |
Jump to 4042.319 |
|
|
quarter marriott is over three billion |
4.639 |
Jump to 4044.16 |
|
|
know uh 2.0 their their found |
4.24 |
Jump to 4058.319 |
|
|