| stage but first there are earnings from | 4.4 | Jump to 15.36 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | fourth quarter despite being hit by | 4.0 | Jump to 23.76 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | rising six percent this year with core | 4.16 | Jump to 27.76 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | earnings up eight percent joining us now | 4.4 | Jump to 29.679 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | the first thing we actually look at is | 3.76 | Jump to 65.76 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | to the fourth quarter we'll we'll see if | 3.36 | Jump to 107.28 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | that glass and try to push through uh 10 | 4.72 | Jump to 118.56 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | commodities out about nine months uh | 4.72 | Jump to 134.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | for the fourth quarter uh we don't buy | 3.6 | Jump to 139.2 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | out to the fourth quarter until bit | 3.36 | Jump to 141.28 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | high single digits to 10 | 5.279 | Jump to 153.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | january rising seven and a half percent | 4.64 | Jump to 166.56 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        seven and a half percent
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | it's a great question and it's one | 4.399 | Jump to 187.2 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | ahead by about nine months because at | 4.0 | Jump to 209.76 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | in the second quarter third quarter | 4.881 | Jump to 228.239 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        the second quarter third quarter
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | fourth quarter uh candidly uh supply | 4.72 | Jump to 230.0 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | is uh two things number one we we're | 5.44 | Jump to 256.639 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | about 30 percent and so that that piece | 4.639 | Jump to 352.0 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | optimistic about it uh this is our first | 5.12 | Jump to 412.16 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | know how big it can be yet the second | 4.801 | Jump to 419.599 |  |  |