| at 8 30 this morning 467 000 new | 5.84 | Jump to 6.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | large surprise you know 467 | 5.6 | Jump to 51.52 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 000 jobs added and really strong | 4.48 | Jump to 54.559 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | net revisions to the prior two months so | 3.599 | Jump to 57.12 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        the prior two months
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | pricing in it went from about a 20 | 4.96 | Jump to 83.92 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | chance of a 50 basis point rate hike in | 5.119 | Jump to 86.0 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | march to 40 percent following this | 4.8 | Jump to 88.88 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | pricing in five rate hikes to now about | 5.92 | Jump to 93.68 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | a you know 35 percent chance of maybe | 5.039 | Jump to 97.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | more than five rate hikes so sometimes | 4.24 | Jump to 99.6 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | of that as well um you know one of the | 3.519 | Jump to 119.28 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | still 2.9 million jobs below where we | 5.681 | Jump to 140.959 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | shooting their goal of two percent which | 3.841 | Jump to 164.959 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | normal because i would describe the 2022 | 4.72 | Jump to 208.0 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | a look at the s p 500 and the swings | 4.08 | Jump to 214.4 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | right i think one of the you know kind | 4.561 | Jump to 219.519 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | right i think there's two things sort of | 3.44 | Jump to 306.16 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | one i think when you have a fed share | 3.36 | Jump to 309.6 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | clarity on monetary policy is one um | 5.839 | Jump to 328.08 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | five but maybe the fed ends up going | 4.159 | Jump to 343.6 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | four and we've seen him talk back some | 4.72 | Jump to 345.44 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | the first half this year for sure maybe | 3.6 | Jump to 373.039 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        the first half this year
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | 10 times the s p 500 is at a five | 6.16 | Jump to 382.4 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | percent decline or more in january uh 70 | 5.2 | Jump to 385.36 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 2008 was a notable exception where you | 4.24 | Jump to 392.56 |  |  |