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now so gdp grew at 5.7 percent last year 6.961 Jump to 21.199
    PERCENT 5.7 percent
    DATE last year
6.9 in december i'm wondering how much 5.76 Jump to 24.96
    CARDINAL 6.9
rise uh something like around 10 basis 4.48 Jump to 45.44
    CARDINAL 10
already slowing even though that fourth 3.681 Jump to 60.239
    ORDINAL fourth
out of the first two quarters of next 3.92 Jump to 65.68
    DATE the first two quarters of next
year so we think somewhere between two 3.68 Jump to 67.28
    CARDINAL between two
and three quarters and three percent 2.8 Jump to 69.6
    DATE three quarters
    PERCENT three percent
several things are changing first of all 3.281 Jump to 83.119
    ORDINAL first
price appreciation in 2022 5.36 Jump to 137.44
    DATE 2022
those two things at the margin will 4.48 Jump to 140.64
    CARDINAL two
first-time home buyers 4.24 Jump to 145.12
    ORDINAL first
first-time home buyers now there is a 5.92 Jump to 170.319
    ORDINAL first
go too far even if rates say break four 4.72 Jump to 176.239
    CARDINAL four
accounts are about two trillion dollars 3.121 Jump to 188.959
    MONEY about two trillion dollars
hard to find one 4.161 Jump to 209.519
like something between 15 and 17 5.44 Jump to 215.76
    CARDINAL between 15 and 17
uh something on the order of 18 increase 5.44 Jump to 236.48
    CARDINAL 18
in house prices in 2021 6.479 Jump to 239.04
    DATE 2021
following about a 15 increase in 2020 7.039 Jump to 241.92
    CARDINAL 15
    DATE 2020
our estimate is that uh in 2022 the 5.201 Jump to 245.519
    DATE 2022
the seven to eight percent range uh it 5.359 Jump to 250.72
    PERCENT seven to eight percent
seven or eight which is much higher than 3.921 Jump to 256.079
    CARDINAL seven
your house you have to find another one 3.36 Jump to 263.68
has one house to sell that's there are 4.081 Jump to 270.639
    CARDINAL one
so it's been a tale of two cities right 3.84 Jump to 290.32
    CARDINAL two
second time buyers or they're investors 4.479 Jump to 298.56
    ORDINAL second
but what about for the first time home 4.0 Jump to 301.039
    ORDINAL first
well the big challenge for first-timers 4.56 Jump to 318.16
    ORDINAL first
the for the first time buyer that will 3.92 Jump to 334.8
    ORDINAL first
driven by those two factors of declining 5.84 Jump to 359.6
    CARDINAL two
which is one of the reasons that nominal 5.36 Jump to 410.88