16th century more like the 26th century |
6.161 |
Jump to 11.599 |
|
|
co-founder of lux capital with 4 billion |
5.28 |
Jump to 22.48 |
|
|
uh i just want to start first with kind |
2.88 |
Jump to 27.76 |
|
|
um i just wanted to start first with |
4.0 |
Jump to 32.079 |
|
|
estimation a greater than 60 chance that |
4.8 |
Jump to 54.8 |
|
|
we are in march of 2000 for a broad |
4.241 |
Jump to 57.199 |
|
|
probably going to uh for 18 month period |
4.96 |
Jump to 62.96 |
|
|
until say october 2001 where you saw |
4.881 |
Jump to 65.119 |
|
|
about an 80 decline in some of the most |
4.559 |
Jump to 67.92 |
|
|
popular names and that 80 decline |
5.2 |
Jump to 70.0 |
|
|
happened by 50 basis points one percent |
4.241 |
Jump to 72.479 |
|
|
you've had five six years where by the |
3.92 |
Jump to 80.72 |
|
|
three words husband your cash hold on to |
4.24 |
Jump to 100.32 |
|
|
companies that are burning maybe 10 |
2.8 |
Jump to 117.04 |
|
|
million dollars a quarter something like |
3.12 |
Jump to 118.56 |
|
|
one of the big |
3.759 |
Jump to 149.84 |
|
|
the last say five six seven years |
5.28 |
Jump to 157.2 |
|
|
have been raised we closed a billion and |
3.279 |
Jump to 181.68 |
|
|
a half just six months ago with a lot of |
4.0 |
Jump to 183.04 |
|
|
or two years ago now in my estimation |
3.2 |
Jump to 190.08 |
|
|
is one of our limited partners had a |
4.0 |
Jump to 201.599 |
|
|
to be six seven eight names on a |
2.64 |
Jump to 212.48 |
|
|
similar to what you saw in 0.708 in |
2.88 |
Jump to 247.68 |
|
|
delay it a quarter or two can you do |
3.361 |
Jump to 256.079 |
|
|
2002 period where |
4.2 |
Jump to 310.52 |
|
|
so you saw this you know 2002 to 2007 |
3.6 |
Jump to 435.28 |
|
|
rise of venture firms from say 98 to |
5.039 |
Jump to 442.56 |
|
|
2001. the number of firms in venture |
4.159 |
Jump to 444.88 |
|
|
400 at that time sort of late 90s to |
4.641 |
Jump to 449.039 |
|
|
about a thousand until it wasn't cut in |
3.04 |
Jump to 451.52 |
CARDINAL
about a thousand
|
|
500 now that still was an increase of 25 |
4.16 |
Jump to 454.56 |
|
|
from about 800 active venture firms just |
3.919 |
Jump to 458.72 |
|
|
a few years ago to over 1800 now some of |
4.481 |
Jump to 460.479 |
|
|
25 50 100 million dollar fund some are |
3.921 |
Jump to 466.319 |
MONEY
25 50 100 million dollar
|
|
were one of the survivors there will be |
3.361 |
Jump to 482.319 |
|
|
herd i would predict that between 50 and |
4.0 |
Jump to 489.84 |
|
|
75 of the active investors in private |
3.921 |
Jump to 491.599 |
|
|
next two years speaking of the herd but |
3.679 |
Jump to 495.52 |
|
|
have not seen a downturn march 2020 was |
4.161 |
Jump to 598.959 |
|
|
not a downturn that was a two-week |
3.761 |
Jump to 601.839 |
|
|
drawdown march 2000 was a downturn you |
4.32 |
Jump to 603.12 |
|
|
their jobs they were losing their 80 |
3.841 |
Jump to 610.079 |
|
|
revoked so i remember 20 years ago you |
5.279 |
Jump to 628.56 |
|
|
had investment banks in march 2000 maybe |
4.719 |
Jump to 631.12 |
|
|
then ensuing six months they were taking |
4.56 |
Jump to 633.839 |
|
|
and i think that in a year or two the |
3.2 |
Jump to 707.04 |
|
|
because of this fomo in a day or two |
3.12 |
Jump to 752.399 |
|
|
because you've got 40 competing term |
2.96 |
Jump to 754.16 |
|
|
areas where there's 500 or even 50 |
3.281 |
Jump to 764.079 |
|
|
be only one two or three companies you |
3.359 |
Jump to 768.48 |
|
|
macro for five six seven years and make |
2.799 |
Jump to 774.48 |
DATE
five six seven years
|
|
you know there are two big themes that |
3.12 |
Jump to 832.0 |
|
|
one of them is in uh |
3.44 |
Jump to 837.36 |
|
|
hard power and one of them is in soft |
2.799 |
Jump to 839.04 |
|
|
these two powers a bifurcation a |
3.44 |
Jump to 848.16 |
|
|
you've had 20 years of the zeitgeist |
2.8 |
Jump to 859.92 |
|
|
north of 14 sovereigns that are now |
4.0 |
Jump to 910.88 |
|
|
a few different ways one was export of |
3.839 |
Jump to 944.0 |
|
|