| 16th century more like the 26th century | 6.161 | Jump to 11.599 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | co-founder of lux capital with 4 billion | 5.28 | Jump to 22.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | uh i just want to start first with kind | 2.88 | Jump to 27.76 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | um i just wanted to start first with | 4.0 | Jump to 32.079 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | estimation a greater than 60 chance that | 4.8 | Jump to 54.8 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | we are in march of 2000 for a broad | 4.241 | Jump to 57.199 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | probably going to uh for 18 month period | 4.96 | Jump to 62.96 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | until say october 2001 where you saw | 4.881 | Jump to 65.119 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | about an 80 decline in some of the most | 4.559 | Jump to 67.92 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | popular names and that 80 decline | 5.2 | Jump to 70.0 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | happened by 50 basis points one percent | 4.241 | Jump to 72.479 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | you've had five six years where by the | 3.92 | Jump to 80.72 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | three words husband your cash hold on to | 4.24 | Jump to 100.32 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | companies that are burning maybe 10 | 2.8 | Jump to 117.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | million dollars a quarter something like | 3.12 | Jump to 118.56 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | one of the big | 3.759 | Jump to 149.84 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | the last say five six seven years | 5.28 | Jump to 157.2 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | have been raised we closed a billion and | 3.279 | Jump to 181.68 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | a half just six months ago with a lot of | 4.0 | Jump to 183.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | or two years ago now in my estimation | 3.2 | Jump to 190.08 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | is one of our limited partners had a | 4.0 | Jump to 201.599 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | to be six seven eight names on a | 2.64 | Jump to 212.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | similar to what you saw in 0.708 in | 2.88 | Jump to 247.68 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | delay it a quarter or two can you do | 3.361 | Jump to 256.079 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 2002 period where | 4.2 | Jump to 310.52 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | so you saw this you know 2002 to 2007 | 3.6 | Jump to 435.28 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | rise of venture firms from say 98 to | 5.039 | Jump to 442.56 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 2001. the number of firms in venture | 4.159 | Jump to 444.88 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 400 at that time sort of late 90s to | 4.641 | Jump to 449.039 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | about a thousand until it wasn't cut in | 3.04 | Jump to 451.52 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        CARDINAL
                      
                      
                        about a thousand
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | 500 now that still was an increase of 25 | 4.16 | Jump to 454.56 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | from about 800 active venture firms just | 3.919 | Jump to 458.72 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | a few years ago to over 1800 now some of | 4.481 | Jump to 460.479 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 25 50 100 million dollar fund some are | 3.921 | Jump to 466.319 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        MONEY
                      
                      
                        25 50 100 million dollar
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | were one of the survivors there will be | 3.361 | Jump to 482.319 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | herd i would predict that between 50 and | 4.0 | Jump to 489.84 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 75 of the active investors in private | 3.921 | Jump to 491.599 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | next two years speaking of the herd but | 3.679 | Jump to 495.52 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | have not seen a downturn march 2020 was | 4.161 | Jump to 598.959 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | not a downturn that was a two-week | 3.761 | Jump to 601.839 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | drawdown march 2000 was a downturn you | 4.32 | Jump to 603.12 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | their jobs they were losing their 80 | 3.841 | Jump to 610.079 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | revoked so i remember 20 years ago you | 5.279 | Jump to 628.56 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | had investment banks in march 2000 maybe | 4.719 | Jump to 631.12 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | then ensuing six months they were taking | 4.56 | Jump to 633.839 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | and i think that in a year or two the | 3.2 | Jump to 707.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | because of this fomo in a day or two | 3.12 | Jump to 752.399 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | because you've got 40 competing term | 2.96 | Jump to 754.16 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | areas where there's 500 or even 50 | 3.281 | Jump to 764.079 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | be only one two or three companies you | 3.359 | Jump to 768.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | macro for five six seven years and make | 2.799 | Jump to 774.48 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        five six seven years
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | you know there are two big themes that | 3.12 | Jump to 832.0 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | one of them is in uh | 3.44 | Jump to 837.36 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | hard power and one of them is in soft | 2.799 | Jump to 839.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | these two powers a bifurcation a | 3.44 | Jump to 848.16 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | you've had 20 years of the zeitgeist | 2.8 | Jump to 859.92 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | north of 14 sovereigns that are now | 4.0 | Jump to 910.88 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | a few different ways one was export of | 3.839 | Jump to 944.0 |  |  |