| february 1st 2022 |
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| how are you jack it's been a while six |
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| understand you could do 250 million plus |
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| the next three years so uh i'll go |
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DATE
the next three years
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| for 20 stock because this is i mean like |
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| again but the last six months have been |
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| the digital divide one connection at the |
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| because one thing that people intends or |
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| there since 1983 where it got uh where |
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| for others for i would say at least 30 |
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| back in 2011 this is when we started to |
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| started with our first odm contract odm |
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| contract and it was to deliver 2g indoor |
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| something like four thousands of those |
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| uh uh in uh back in 2011. |
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| in 2015 we did the complete shift to be |
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| four months after we were standing at |
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| that uh you're probably one of the best |
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| one out there to build products |
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| we were one of the few players |
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| you know there's one billion people |
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| and uh 4 billion close to 4 billion |
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| in 2016 which are which is a radio |
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| solution starting 2016. starting then we |
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| with multiple of the tier one operator |
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| big players they are in the top 10 top |
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| 15 mobile network operator across the |
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| sold over 5000 base stations that have |
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| been deployed worldwide so in 15 |
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| i happened to be at africa come in 2019 |
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| meeting that was supposed to last 10 |
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| minutes finally last an hour an hour 15 |
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TIME
last an hour an hour
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| uh areas and also upgrades on the 3g the |
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| 4g the 5g and over the top |
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| in africa there's something like 300 |
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| million plus |
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| everything and we manage it for a 10 |
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| uh uh nuran becomes a one-stop shop for |
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| we manage it through 10 years plus |
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| for 10 years it's a pay as you grow |
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| first product out was called the gsm |
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| light cell it's 2g |
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| yes of course people will say yeah 2g |
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| but 2g is what they need |
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| and 2g is also what they can afford |
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| you power up up to 20 000 people |
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| and you cover up to 13 kilometer range |
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| the average site 5000 but we've also |
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| retained the ip it's called oc 2g oc |
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| and of course 2g again but this was for |
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| because the satellite consume around 50 |
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| so uh 50 plus the 14 64 what for a |
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| for the first time to |
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| they did one in 2019 and they're |
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| currently running one |
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| this product is capable of doing three |
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| 2g 3g and or 4g at the same time |
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| and you can also flip from one g to |
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| about this one is that it allow the uh |
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| one example of the type of contract |
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| first first anniversary |
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| february 8th last year |
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| sign a contract for 2000 sites |
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| that might be deployed within 40 months |
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| it's a 10-year contract term |
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| the contract is for 2g to start with but |
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| with upgradeability path to 4g |
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| up to 10 million people in the country |
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CARDINAL
up to 10 million
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| assuming we're doing five thousand but |
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| uh over 10 years period is |
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| 394 million usd |
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| building and operating those 2000 site |
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| five years are being transferred to the |
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| remaining period of the 10-year term |
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| revenue one particularity of our |
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| average it's one thousand dollar usd per |
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MONEY
one thousand dollar
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| and this one happens to show |
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| we're delivering those 2000 site with |
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| using four different categories and the |
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| status we're now building one of the the |
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| one of uh the other feature of the type |
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| manage to get 50 a bit from all |
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| three major contracts two with orange |
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| one with mtn |
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| 2492 to be deployed in africa |
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| growing pipeline of over 15 |
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| 000 sites |
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| 16 months |
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| or over 34 million dollar usd to finance |
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| the market so far so good 50 58 site |
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| rate of 45.9 percent |
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| 1800 usd |
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|
| uh december uh 31st 2021 |
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| one point here the 45 45.9 penetration |
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| taken into account a 24 25 penetration |
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| we are at 45 |
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| penetration rate for example you have 96 |
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| 97 percent of the population that has a |
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|
| in the last uh 16 months and it will |
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| since september 2020 |
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| of progression so 16 months to do all of |
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| so niran wants to achieve in five years |
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| 10 000 sites generating 200 million usd |
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| in revenue per year and 100 million usd |
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| organs for four different countries for |
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| over 2000 site we've been shortlisted on |
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| a major rfp with tier one uh with the |
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| tier one mno |
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| for over 10 000 site in 17 different |
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| 20 uh 3 000 sites |
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| in our pocket it's 2500 site to build |
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| upon two |
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| so uh we are in the five-year plan |
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| one year done we have 25 percent of the |
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| suspect that we might hit the 10 000 |
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| next two years max so |
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| you is the follow one one |
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| i've selected four players that are |
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| american tower being one of them crown |
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| and the smaller players are trading 8.6 |
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| it's not part of this are trading seven |
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| seven point five times a bit for your |
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| account the 8.6 x multiple |
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| with 2500 site |
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| a reaching 800 |
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| will generate a yearly revenue of 55 |
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| million ebitda of 27.5 |
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| a potential valuation of 36.5 million |
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|
| currently trading at the dollar 40 |
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|
| to deliver those 2 400 sites while me |
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|
|
| okay first let me let me just |
4.0 |
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|
| uh ask you a question first so bottom |
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| i mean two billion dollar valuation |
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|
| you know let's say you get the ten |
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|
|
| thousand plus towers uh you know you go |
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|
| what that would be what uh 200 million |
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|
|
| actually no 100 100 million plus ebitda |
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|
| right exactly 100 million plus ebitda uh |
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|
| could be you know a two billion dollar |
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|
|
| say you get to 100 million shares |
4.0 |
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|
|
| uh that would be roughly 20 |
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|
|
| we have 2500 sites under contract as we |
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| proposal stage for over 15 000 sites |
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|
| build those ten thousand site but at |
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|
| least if we just stop here we have 2500 |
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| sites and those 2 500 sites will be |
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|
| generating 50 million dollars of revenue |
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|
|
| 27 million dollar |
4.0 |
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|
|
| so we should be trading at 236 million |
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|
|
| by five |
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|
| anything else is going to generate 50 |
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|
|
| million in ebitda |
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|
| 27.5 million ebitda twenty seven point |
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|
|
| so 50 50 million grows 27 it's roughly |
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|
| 27 million okay yeah uh but that would |
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|
|
| be still around 400 million 500 million |
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MONEY
around 400 million 500 million
|
|
| uh fully diluted 41 million okay so |
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|
| that's 10 bucks a share roughly based on |
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|
| those you know 2 500 towers up is it the |
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|
|
| because we will get theirs there's 30 |
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| 000 tower to be built in sub-saharan |
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|
| exactly that's the number one question |
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|
| it was not ideal to get the first |
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| really is like one of the most essential |
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|
| it's not like one of these things which |
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| does and the one thing that you that we |
5.2 |
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|
|
| population between 15 and 40. you would |
6.08 |
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CARDINAL
between 15 and 40
|
|
| has been released from the billion |
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|
|
| million melinda gates from the |
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| you know this 50 million plus top line |
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| 27 million you know ebitda all that good |
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| with the 10 000 sites under contract |
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|
| probably within the next 24 months |
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|
|
| so on the five-year plan that's like uh |
4.8 |
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| two years ahead of time |
4.4 |
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|
|
| uh talking about 120 million to raise to |
7.52 |
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CARDINAL
about 120 million
|
|
| do the one the ten thousand sites built |
6.081 |
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|
|
| just look at the one we just announced |
5.919 |
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|
|
| there was uh to a 14 and a and uh nine |
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|
| it with six million of equity so they're |
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| they're asking for like 20 25 30 equity |
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|
| which is a private entity and this one |
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|
| from 2g to 4 or 5g look like in the |
5.2 |
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| the box to put a new one |
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|
| uh the next generation one is that the |
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| presentation this one you can turn it on |
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| with 2g then swap to 3g and to 4g |
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|
| don't see 5g soon though in those |
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|
|
| 3g and 4g |
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|
|
| the four orange |
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|
|
| i will say 2022. now i don't have any |
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|
|
| one they took seven months to announce |
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|
|
| so beginning of september so seven |
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|
| over it's close to 600 that we're |
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|
| at 450 sites erected so this is part of |
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|
|
| mode in drc we will be deploying 80 |
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|
| the ground we have three subcontractors |
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| in the rc one in cameroon and we have |
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| selected one that will be part of our |
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|
| of the 10-year contract does new run |
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|
|
| term contract actually so that's uh one |
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|
|
| ourselves to pursue those 10-year |
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| we'll be back in just a second let me |
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| for a second |
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|
| 15 really good questions i'm just |
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|
|
| hang on one second |
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|
| second uh apparently the electricity |
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|
| standby should be coming in any second |
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|
|
| like 20 minutes outside quebec city i'm |
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|
|
| 10-year contract okay |
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|
|
| cost of the site is on average 25 000 |
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|
|
| usually for five to six years max |
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|
|
| our model was showing 25 penetration |
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|
|
| rate we're at 45. so bang bang bang bang |
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|
| asset forever because after the 10-year |
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|
|
| september uh august september in 2021 |
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|
|
| we were expecting something like 180 |
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|
|
| nothing stopping us from doing 50 sites |
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|
|
| a month 70 sites a month it's not a |
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|
|
| fyi we have three million dollar worth |
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MONEY
three million dollar
|
|
| first 120 site same goes for drc |
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|
|
| 200 to 200 towers per month in drc but |
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|
|
| 70 to 80 sites a month in drc |
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|
|
| fast but we can probably do 30 to |
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|
|
| 30 to 40 sites a month easily actually |
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|
|
| because between the december 20 and i |
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|
|
| think january 20 we've deployed we've |
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|
|
| developed develop deployed close to 30 |
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|
|
| get about eight more questions to go |
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|
|
| companies on one power or have you been |
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|
|
| operator because if there's one thing |
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|
|
| is to favor one or the other they would |
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|
|
| because having one or multiple operator |
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|
|
| onto one side there's a captive |
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|
|
| population of 5 000 people |
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|
|
| being 25 30 40 |
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|
|
| it will be 25 30 40 |
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|
|
| when you expect to have ten thousand |
2.399 |
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|
|
| twenty five hundred sites |
4.72 |
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CARDINAL
twenty five hundred
|
|
| uh currently so what are these 2 500 |
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|
|
| 40 months |
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|
|
| for drc is 40 months |
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| but by the end of 2022 we should be |
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| finished with the 20 the 2 200 sites of |
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| can you count on your 5g patents does |
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| straight into yeah the 5g patent was for |
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| into those dense area and you have 5g is |
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| but yes we still have this 5g patent |
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| 2100 |
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| uh 2100 so those kind so that slide |
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| have 2100 sites exactly |
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| probably three to four different |
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| one in uh argentina brazil close to |
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| maybe we can probably see the first |
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| contract before the end of 2022 i would |
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| intelsat to serve uh 62 islands in |
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| on a capex mode so one off we're selling |
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| have 10 sight probably live before the |
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| the next five months you can't do |
4.56 |
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DATE
the next five months
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| concrete-based tower in two places where |
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| work so we will probably have maybe 10 |
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| 15 site live before this period wait a |
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| december and the goal is to have the 250 |
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| site running within 24 months |
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| uh 250 site more |
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| would you say the top three reasons why |
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| 2021 has been the year for ticking all |
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| everything 2022 we're starting execute |
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| second thing the market is booming the |
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| three major the two major reason the |
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| third one we have put together the right |
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| see in the next you know 30 |
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| next 60 days or so what kind of what |
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| there will be a lot of news in 2022 |
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| we'll see you in the next one |
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