housing market peaked back in 2008 and |
3.6 |
Jump to 22.08 |
|
|
lot of fence sitters it's usually three |
5.039 |
Jump to 57.52 |
|
|
over the last next year and a half two |
4.16 |
Jump to 96.72 |
DATE
the last next year and
|
|
perfect storm number one there's the |
4.159 |
Jump to 115.92 |
|
|
balance out once we see that first rate |
4.481 |
Jump to 128.319 |
|
|
well first you have to keep in mind that |
3.2 |
Jump to 132.8 |
|
|
also have second home buyers and you |
4.16 |
Jump to 153.76 |
|
|
accelerating really the whole second |
3.68 |
Jump to 169.12 |
|
|
half of 2000 |
4.48 |
Jump to 171.28 |
|
|
um the last six months of 2001 and |
5.359 |
Jump to 172.8 |
DATE
the last six months of 2001
|
|
accelerating into 2022 |
4.72 |
Jump to 175.76 |
|
|
four percent like 19 so we went from 4 |
5.68 |
Jump to 188.8 |
|
|
to up nearly 20 percent and i think a |
4.4 |
Jump to 192.0 |
PERCENT
nearly 20 percent
|
|
30-year fixed mortgage rate as high as |
3.36 |
Jump to 203.2 |
|
|
four percent |
3.2 |
Jump to 205.28 |
|
|
we have about 70 percent of homeowners |
3.36 |
Jump to 206.56 |
|
|
locked in below four percent |
4.64 |
Jump to 209.92 |
PERCENT
below four percent
|
|
so if you're locked in at three |
4.479 |
Jump to 212.4 |
|
|
and rates are now four it's a big |
5.039 |
Jump to 214.56 |
|
|
um happen in the past in 2018 mortgage |
5.681 |
Jump to 219.599 |
|
|
rates 1.4 to 5 from the beginning of 18 |
5.68 |
Jump to 222.08 |
|
|
to the end of 2018 they were at five and |
4.56 |
Jump to 225.28 |
|
|
there's number one the investors who are |
3.839 |
Jump to 265.36 |
|
|
um pre-pandemic for three years prior to |
5.52 |
Jump to 294.08 |
|
|
the pandemic it kind of ran about 2.3 |
3.759 |
Jump to 296.88 |
|
|
million |
3.439 |
Jump to 299.6 |
|
|
and by the end of fourth quarter first |
6.4 |
Jump to 300.639 |
DATE
the end of fourth quarter
|
|
quarter of 21 we got to over 2.8 million |
6.321 |
Jump to 303.039 |
CARDINAL
over 2.8 million
|
|
to like 2.4 million so when we look at |
4.72 |
Jump to 309.36 |
|
|
call it 20 21 of the market that's now |
6.4 |
Jump to 316.0 |
|
|
26 percent of the market and that's not |
4.399 |
Jump to 319.52 |
|
|
primary buyer the second home buyer has |
5.2 |
Jump to 349.36 |
|
|
the last two years and one would argue |
3.919 |
Jump to 354.56 |
|
|
maybe the second home buyer is a little |
3.921 |
Jump to 357.039 |
|
|
rate that first rate hike at least is |
3.6 |
Jump to 391.68 |
|
|
well you know i'm a mother of three and |
4.08 |
Jump to 410.72 |
|
|
because when you look at first-time |
3.921 |
Jump to 429.759 |
|
|
know we have a backlog that's at 2007 |
5.839 |
Jump to 438.08 |
|
|