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Data

Text duration start ents sentiment
policy interest rate near zero 4.4 Jump to 571.68
    CARDINAL zero
months averaging 365 000 per month over 5.44 Jump to 688.88
    CARDINAL 365
    CARDINAL 000
the past three months 4.0 Jump to 692.24
    DATE the past three months
has risen by 6.4 million jobs 5.12 Jump to 696.24
    CARDINAL 6.4 million
sharply falling two percentage points 4.32 Jump to 701.36
    CARDINAL two
over the past six months 5.839 Jump to 703.68
    DATE the past six months
to reach 3.9 percent in december 5.839 Jump to 705.68
    PERCENT 3.9 percent
run goal of 2 percent 4.401 Jump to 767.839
    PERCENT 2 percent
inflation that is well above our two 3.601 Jump to 882.399
    CARDINAL two
thank you for the first question we'll 3.841 Jump to 1024.559
    ORDINAL first
actually two-sided risks now um 3.601 Jump to 1084.799
    CARDINAL two
began raising rates in 2015. 4.959 Jump to 1111.84
    DATE 2015
inflation is running well above our two 3.04 Jump to 1120.08
    CARDINAL two
over over the course of two or three 4.081 Jump to 1440.159
    CARDINAL two or three
would point you to principle number one 3.76 Jump to 1482.88
relationship between the two for example 5.12 Jump to 1517.919
    CARDINAL two
reluctant to land on one of them that 4.24 Jump to 1542.96
    CARDINAL one
financial conditions not one or two 3.76 Jump to 1641.039
    CARDINAL one
    CARDINAL two
things one or two markets and what we're 4.319 Jump to 1642.72
    CARDINAL one
    CARDINAL two
we're not looking at any one market or 3.04 Jump to 1663.44
expected three rate increases this year 5.359 Jump to 1680.32
    CARDINAL three
    DATE this year
and um you know it's six weeks seven 6.401 Jump to 1683.039
    DATE six weeks
    CARDINAL seven
one sort of technical question and one 4.48 Jump to 1937.76
    CARDINAL one
    CARDINAL one
correct that's the first thing second of 5.28 Jump to 1957.84
    ORDINAL first
    ORDINAL second
balance sheet is a complicated one and 4.96 Jump to 2013.36
it's time to stop asset purchases first 5.2 Jump to 2112.48
    ORDINAL first
we'll have at least one other discussion 3.44 Jump to 2169.04
    CARDINAL at least one
two-sided i'm wondering if you can 4.08 Jump to 2214.72
    CARDINAL two
and then second chairpal i have a quick 4.88 Jump to 2225.44
    ORDINAL second
you asked about the risks first 4.64 Jump to 2268.8
    ORDINAL first
so i you know the one risk is that 5.36 Jump to 2270.88
    CARDINAL one
different outcomes including the one 3.68 Jump to 2311.2
expansion we saw labor first 4.96 Jump to 2329.119
two percent goal 3.92 Jump to 2358.24
    PERCENT two percent
so i mentioned two-sided risks 3.919 Jump to 2359.68
    CARDINAL two
a couple of things one 4.801 Jump to 2363.599
december is a reasonable one and if 3.12 Jump to 2482.4
we get from here seven percent cpi to 3.919 Jump to 2492.16
    PERCENT seven percent
raise my own estimate of 2022 5.761 Jump to 2513.119
    DATE 2022
an impulse to growth over the last two 3.439 Jump to 2600.64
    DATE the last two
so that's another thing the other one is 3.361 Jump to 2606.319
inflation back down to two percent it's 4.16 Jump to 2646.4
    PERCENT two percent
larger increments and say doing a 50 4.48 Jump to 2711.68
    CARDINAL 50
2015 16 17 18 we were raising rates 5.92 Jump to 2740.24
    DATE 2015 16 17 18
inflation was very close to two percent 4.08 Jump to 2744.4
    PERCENT close to two percent
even below two percent unemployment was 5.199 Jump to 2746.16
the two to three percent range 4.16 Jump to 2754.4
    PERCENT two to three percent
substantially above two percent and and 4.0 Jump to 2758.56
    PERCENT above two percent
for 2022 3.84 Jump to 2766.96
    DATE 2022
february of 2020 4.08 Jump to 2812.88
    DATE 2020
year over year inflation's at a 40-year 4.08 Jump to 2983.44
    DATE 40-year
price index for all of 2021 was the 4.24 Jump to 2987.52
    DATE 2021
hike more than 25 basis points discussed 4.401 Jump to 2997.839
    CARDINAL more than 25
chip shortage will last into 2023. so 4.24 Jump to 3013.52
    DATE 2023
uh in the second half of this year 4.24 Jump to 3037.359
    DATE the second half of this year
they'll go more than through to uh 2023. 5.919 Jump to 3058.64
    DATE 2023
to 2 4.239 Jump to 3148.88
    CARDINAL 2
do you want to go below 2 so that on 6.24 Jump to 3150.16
    CARDINAL 2
average you get a 2 inflation rate and 6.0 Jump to 3153.119
    CARDINAL 2
below two percent 4.16 Jump to 3172.0
    PERCENT below two percent
well anchored at two percent that that's 3.04 Jump to 3184.48
    PERCENT two percent
inflation average two percent over time 3.121 Jump to 3195.839
    PERCENT two percent
and if inflation doesn't average two 2.88 Jump to 3197.52
    CARDINAL two
anchored at two percent so that that's 3.92 Jump to 3202.24
    PERCENT two percent
potential growth is around two most 3.839 Jump to 3238.72
    CARDINAL two
for 2022 4.321 Jump to 3242.559
    DATE 2022
to two percent 3.361 Jump to 3257.359
    PERCENT two percent
no one really knows what that will take 4.0 Jump to 3268.4
two percent and a situation where where 5.439 Jump to 3286.16
    PERCENT two percent
the two goals or the two goals can be 4.08 Jump to 3288.64
    CARDINAL two
    CARDINAL two
it's a difficult one but but i i don't 3.2 Jump to 3292.72
amount in one course so there was a real 3.12 Jump to 3439.04
    CARDINAL one
look in 25 years we'll look back at this 5.119 Jump to 3511.44
    DATE 25 years
incident which will be a you know two 4.72 Jump to 3513.839
three four five year period 3.841 Jump to 3516.559
    DATE three four five year
how that looks in 25 years 4.079 Jump to 3538.24
    DATE 25 years
one thing i would say another is 3.919 Jump to 3594.64
    CARDINAL one
two to your treasury to ten year 3.44 Jump to 3600.96
    CARDINAL two
    DATE ten year
treasury i think that's around 75 basis 2.879 Jump to 3602.48
telling us and it's but it's one of many 4.72 Jump to 3622.16
    CARDINAL one
you mentioned really asset prices is one 3.041 Jump to 3817.839
of the four 2.799 Jump to 3819.76
    CARDINAL four