that down 10 ish a little bit more you |
4.32 |
Jump to 36.96 |
|
|
five to ten percent now if you look back |
4.8 |
Jump to 50.16 |
PERCENT
five to ten percent
|
|
of move more than ten percent it ends up |
4.239 |
Jump to 54.96 |
PERCENT
more than ten percent
|
|
being about 15 to 20 aside from the |
4.399 |
Jump to 56.96 |
|
|
recession scenario and those 15 to 20 |
4.561 |
Jump to 59.199 |
|
|
saw these in 2010 2011 2018 um and you |
5.52 |
Jump to 68.24 |
|
|
about late 2018 is that there was a |
3.84 |
Jump to 73.76 |
|
|
different back from 2018 but i think the |
4.08 |
Jump to 82.32 |
|
|
from here but that 10 percent the market |
3.68 |
Jump to 95.28 |
|
|
policy error because they're two |
3.2 |
Jump to 133.84 |
|
|
risk the fed is not doing enough 29 said |
4.24 |
Jump to 138.56 |
|
|
people concerned about inflation but 40 |
4.8 |
Jump to 144.48 |
|
|
over a month ago but 40 percent told us |
3.36 |
Jump to 149.28 |
|
|
40 number has increased and some of the |
4.32 |
Jump to 154.4 |
|
|
first of all let's look very short term |
3.839 |
Jump to 184.4 |
|
|
industrial space that is often the first |
4.321 |
Jump to 222.159 |
|
|
week and next week well over 200 |
3.36 |
Jump to 232.72 |
|
|
a second do you think that the market is |
8.239 |
Jump to 251.84 |
|
|
the lesson of 2018 because that was a |
3.36 |
Jump to 272.0 |
|
|
first quarter than anybody anticipated |
4.48 |
Jump to 316.24 |
|
|
been around 3.9 percent in terms of real |
4.801 |
Jump to 334.639 |
PERCENT
around 3.9 percent
|
|
takeaways so far julie is number one |
4.479 |
Jump to 400.0 |
|
|
this it's two years into the pandemic |
2.88 |
Jump to 425.039 |
|
|
fine we actually saw one company say |
5.041 |
Jump to 427.919 |
|
|
interesting to see what happens with one |
3.28 |
Jump to 447.199 |
|
|
queue numbers where we've only got six |
3.599 |
Jump to 448.88 |
|
|
that six percent number holds up and if |
3.44 |
Jump to 457.759 |
|
|
as one of the more level-headed |
3.201 |
Jump to 476.479 |
|
|
500 target was 50 50 and just given |
4.72 |
Jump to 481.599 |
|
|
outlook of about seven percent |
4.88 |
Jump to 491.759 |
PERCENT
about seven percent
|
|
so if you look at the 50 50 number it's |
4.079 |
Jump to 494.24 |
|
|
basically a six percent return on the |
3.28 |
Jump to 496.639 |
|
|
later in the year and i'll give you one |
3.359 |
Jump to 536.48 |
|
|
it was minus 25.7 it almost got back to |
7.2 |
Jump to 546.16 |
|
|
march 2020 lows which were around 28 29 |
5.761 |
Jump to 549.279 |
|
|
minus 10 percent we're obviously far |
4.8 |
Jump to 556.88 |
|
|
below that right now markets are up 86 |
4.799 |
Jump to 558.72 |
|
|
of the time on a 12 month forward basis |
4.719 |
Jump to 561.68 |
|
|
with a 15 average return and if you go |
5.76 |
Jump to 563.519 |
|
|
back to 2020 we saw net bullishness just |
4.56 |
Jump to 566.399 |
|
|
really in the toilet for about three |
3.281 |
Jump to 569.279 |
|
|
months or about 12 weeks in a row we |
4.401 |
Jump to 570.959 |
|
|
were below that 10 threshold but we got |
4.719 |
Jump to 572.56 |
|
|