banner year in 2021 with the s p 500 |
5.359 |
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gaining 27 percent their latest outlook |
5.2 |
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106 times since the trough of the |
4.081 |
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107. so we certainly realize the |
4.72 |
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couple factors so the first is that |
4.561 |
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any one-year holding period have been |
4.16 |
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about 88 historically |
4.399 |
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greater chance of a 10 or greater gain |
3.76 |
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versus a 10 or greater loss so given the |
4.96 |
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10 odds on a recession this year we |
3.759 |
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the second thing we would point out is |
2.56 |
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equities is around six percent um |
3.839 |
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PERCENT
around six percent
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u.s it could be as high as nine but |
3.68 |
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only around two percent annualized real |
4.8 |
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overweight to energy companies s p 500 |
5.36 |
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german 10-year bond yields are rising |
3.44 |
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still screen as one of the most |
3.199 |
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yields four or five percent which looks |
3.6 |
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PERCENT
four or five percent
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you're looking at the top five stocks |
4.0 |
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within the s p 500 these don't |
4.319 |
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but you know one of the main points that |
4.16 |
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forecast for this year for six percent |
4.16 |
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returns in the s p 500 to come to |
4.32 |
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ten percent uh then we think that we |
4.32 |
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objective are six percent objective even |
3.68 |
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down five percent so the point is that |
4.56 |
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still allow the s p 500 to generate |
3.761 |
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