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tapering and tightening are actually two 3.681 Jump to 46.079
    CARDINAL two
end rates if the tenure gets above two 4.479 Jump to 78.64
    CARDINAL two
percent two and a half percent i think 4.24 Jump to 80.96
    DATE two and a half percent
first of all i guess maybe i should say 3.92 Jump to 94.159
    ORDINAL first
part one of my question is how many 4.4 Jump to 95.84
    CARDINAL one
three is probably the consensus that's 2.8 Jump to 100.24
    CARDINAL three
now some people like goldman say four 4.0 Jump to 103.04
    CARDINAL four
others say four as well some others say 4.081 Jump to 105.119
    CARDINAL four
maybe two where do you stand and then 4.48 Jump to 107.04
so we've got three hikes and balance 3.52 Jump to 111.52
    CARDINAL three
expect for the markets pricing in three 4.481 Jump to 126.719
    CARDINAL three
to slow down so that's why i think three 4.64 Jump to 159.44
    CARDINAL three
is enough you start talking about four 4.561 Jump to 161.519
    CARDINAL about four
fiscal drag so i would argue four or 4.56 Jump to 169.2
    CARDINAL four
end rates specifically the 10-year 3.199 Jump to 186.4
    DATE 10-year
off the 10-year including my home 4.161 Jump to 189.599
    DATE 10-year
by how much are we talking two percent 4.16 Jump to 197.04
two and a half percent is it three 3.92 Jump to 199.28
    DATE two and a half percent
    CARDINAL three
so we we're forecasting two and a 3.84 Jump to 203.2
    CARDINAL two
it's still a good 50 basis point 4.8 Jump to 207.04
    CARDINAL 50
still handle we start getting up to two 4.8 Jump to 211.84
    CARDINAL two
and a half three percent remember 2018 4.319 Jump to 214.0
    PERCENT a half three percent
    DATE 2018
the ten year got to three percent and 3.36 Jump to 216.64
    DATE the ten year got to
so i do think that anything above two 3.84 Jump to 220.0
    CARDINAL two
and a quarter two and a half starts to 3.759 Jump to 222.4