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Text duration start ents sentiment
in 2022. 3.44 Jump to 18.48
    DATE 2022
there um we're wrapping up the first 4.96 Jump to 48.239
    ORDINAL first
week of trading 2022. um where did where 5.12 Jump to 50.0
    DATE 2022
does the market stand after this first 2.721 Jump to 53.199
    ORDINAL first
well the big story for 2020 you know the 5.6 Jump to 55.92
    DATE 2020
big story for 2021 was navigating um the 5.279 Jump to 57.76
    DATE 2021
2022 is the withdrawal stimulus you know 4.399 Jump to 67.76
    DATE 2022
back to 2009 federal reserve has been 4.079 Jump to 78.08
    DATE 2009
think the big story for 2022 so far 4.32 Jump to 101.52
    DATE 2022
3.9 4.961 Jump to 123.119
    CARDINAL 3.9
stocks oil's at 80 today 4.64 Jump to 172.959
    CARDINAL 80
    DATE today
bit um but first i wanted to get your 4.48 Jump to 234.72
    ORDINAL first
the last three years are crazy i mean i 4.72 Jump to 257.759
    DATE the last three years
think we were 27 up in the s p 500 last 5.04 Jump to 259.84
    CARDINAL 27
    CARDINAL 500
crisis since 2009 the s p 500 is up an 6.4 Jump to 264.88
    DATE 2009
average of 15 a year is that a little a 5.201 Jump to 268.479
    CARDINAL 15
the s p 500 for the last almost hundred 6.32 Jump to 273.68
    DATE the last almost hundred
years has has been a price gain eight 6.24 Jump to 276.0
    CARDINAL eight
nine percent somewhere around there 3.759 Jump to 280.0
    PERCENT nine percent
that's the average if you throw in a two 3.44 Jump to 282.24
    CARDINAL two
percent dividend it's ten percent or 3.521 Jump to 283.759
    PERCENT ten percent
eleven but 3.76 Jump to 285.68
    CARDINAL eleven
you know eight or nine versus fifteen 4.8 Jump to 287.28
    CARDINAL eight
    CARDINAL fifteen
percent that's extraordinary for 13 4.64 Jump to 289.44
    CARDINAL 13
returns for the last 13 years so there's 4.559 Jump to 294.08
    DATE the last 13 years
trending down for 20 years 3.68 Jump to 323.68
    DATE 20 years
going to get a you know 2.5 mortgage 4.64 Jump to 327.36
    CARDINAL 2.5
already up to three three and a quarter 3.199 Jump to 332.0
    CARDINAL up to three three and a quarter
a lot but if the ten year goes from one 4.08 Jump to 343.52
    DATE the ten year
    CARDINAL one
and a half percent to and it's three 3.12 Jump to 345.919
    PERCENT a half percent
    CARDINAL three
you're not going to have 15 20 increases 3.919 Jump to 363.84
    CARDINAL 15 20
you know your home to appreciate 15 or 3.599 Jump to 375.44
    CARDINAL 15
20 this year i would moderate that 4.16 Jump to 377.039
    DATE 20 this year
kinds of returns in 2022 i still think 3.84 Jump to 394.72
    DATE 2022
27 like it was last year 6.359 Jump to 400.96
    CARDINAL 27
    DATE last year
i wouldn't bet on that one 3.879 Jump to 403.44
in 2022 well the thing about the stock 4.72 Jump to 414.4
    DATE 2022
hershey bar is a dollar and suddenly one 6.801 Jump to 434.319
year it's a dollar five the market could 4.8 Jump to 438.0
thirty you know you're going to get 4.239 Jump to 448.24
    CARDINAL thirty
to abate in the first half of the year 4.0 Jump to 477.44
    DATE the first half of the year
inflation what's moderate two three four 4.479 Jump to 497.84
    CARDINAL two
a dollar to a dollar five that's one 2.56 Jump to 520.08
    CARDINAL five
    CARDINAL one
dollar 30 people are going to push back 3.52 Jump to 522.64
    CARDINAL 30
so let's dive into one big tech stock in 6.24 Jump to 553.2
    CARDINAL one
market cap of three trillion dollars is 5.519 Jump to 559.44
    MONEY three trillion dollars
right now for about 30 times forward 4.4 Jump to 605.2
    CARDINAL about 30
market is paying 30 times 2022 apple's 7.04 Jump to 620.0
    CARDINAL 30
    DATE 2022
20 times forward earnings forward 4.241 Jump to 631.519
    CARDINAL 20
um maybe got up to 22 or 23 somewhere 5.12 Jump to 636.8
    CARDINAL up to
    CARDINAL 22
    CARDINAL 23
100 you know or 200 4.48 Jump to 697.44
    CARDINAL 100
    CARDINAL 200
risk-free investment one and a half 3.68 Jump to 724.24
percent a ten-year bond ten-year 2.719 Jump to 726.24
    DATE ten-year
    DATE ten-year
treasury bond will pay you one and a 2.96 Jump to 727.92
half percent a year at the end of 10 3.601 Jump to 728.959
    PERCENT half percent
    CARDINAL 10
say i'm going to get 100 apple for the 2.64 Jump to 738.8
    CARDINAL 100
next 10 years you can make the 2.961 Jump to 740.399
    DATE next 10 years
now suppose the 10-year treasury yield 5.12 Jump to 747.12
    DATE 10-year
goes one and a half to three percent 3.6 Jump to 749.44
    DATE one and a half to
think that's quite possible well three 4.479 Jump to 757.6
    CARDINAL three
risk i could get three percent risk-free 5.2 Jump to 769.04
    PERCENT three percent
in the 10-year treasury well because i'm 3.44 Jump to 774.24
    DATE 10-year
apple's returned more than three percent 3.52 Jump to 777.68
    PERCENT more than three percent
are getting hit eight nine ten percent 4.72 Jump to 813.44
    PERCENT eight nine ten percent
worth paying 100 times 3.12 Jump to 875.44
    CARDINAL 100
more reliant we are in the past two 4.08 Jump to 906.8
two years out from now how much more 4.959 Jump to 910.88
    DATE two years
thoughts on crypto in 2022 7.279 Jump to 926.8
    DATE 2022
is one of the most important 4.0 Jump to 936.639
technological advances of the last 50 5.599 Jump to 938.24
i you know have been for 32 years at 5.279 Jump to 976.8
    DATE 32 years
cnbc and 25 as the stocks correspondent 4.0 Jump to 979.36
    CARDINAL 25
picking year one year two year three 3.279 Jump to 1004.24
    DATE two year
    CARDINAL three
these rock posters for 30 years they 3.359 Jump to 1030.48
    DATE 30 years
is bitcoin worth fifty thousand dollars 4.48 Jump to 1050.48
    MONEY fifty thousand dollars
three percent you know vig the jp morgan 5.6 Jump to 1096.24
    PERCENT three percent
2022 so i i'm afraid we're going to do 4.4 Jump to 1202.0
2022. that's my guess 3.44 Jump to 1208.08
    DATE 2022
so our last question is one that 4.079 Jump to 1212.96
looking to get investing for the first 4.0 Jump to 1218.72
    ORDINAL first
first time 2.641 Jump to 1224.559
    ORDINAL first
the one thing that we have known for 4.08 Jump to 1232.0
    CARDINAL one
money in the market if you're 25 years 4.159 Jump to 1241.76
    DATE 25 years
old or 30 years old you're going to live 5.121 Jump to 1244.159
    DATE 30 years old
60 more years it is a silly question to 4.24 Jump to 1245.919
    DATE 60 more years
i'm 25 oh maybe the market will go down 4.961 Jump to 1250.159
    CARDINAL 25
three out of four years 3.44 Jump to 1257.84
    CARDINAL three
    DATE four years
about this 10 years from now the key is 4.639 Jump to 1261.28
    DATE this 10 years from now
financial adds is the s p 500 5.839 Jump to 1310.96
etfs that track the s p 500 uh vo which 6.08 Jump to 1317.76
    CARDINAL 500
is a vanguard one you know they they 4.56 Jump to 1321.76
charge three basis points a year that's 4.64 Jump to 1323.84
    CARDINAL three
    DATE a year
three dollars for a ten thousand dollar 4.239 Jump to 1326.32
    MONEY three dollars
    MONEY ten thousand dollar
can own essentially 80 of the stock 3.921 Jump to 1330.559
    CARDINAL 80
you're a genius just pick stocks take 10 5.199 Jump to 1351.6
    CARDINAL 10
the market is a zero-sum game 3.92 Jump to 1378.08
    CARDINAL zero
make three percent on your investments 3.44 Jump to 1382.0
    PERCENT three percent
genius somebody has lost three percent 3.8 Jump to 1386.84
    PERCENT three percent
you know if the s p went up five percent 3.2 Jump to 1396.0
    PERCENT five percent
and you went up seven percent 4.719 Jump to 1399.2
    PERCENT seven percent
the whatever one percent 4.479 Jump to 1410.32
    PERCENT one percent
go ahead take 10 4.64 Jump to 1432.159
    CARDINAL 10
go look at the s p 500 spiva report 5.441 Jump to 1454.799
    CARDINAL 500
over a 10-year period 4.56 Jump to 1464.4
    DATE 10-year
85 percent of all fund managers 6.56 Jump to 1466.32
    PERCENT 85 percent
underperform their benchmark 85 6.24 Jump to 1468.96
    CARDINAL 85
500 the reason that's happening is more 5.119 Jump to 1521.44
    CARDINAL 500