| the first quarter because of concerns | 5.44 | Jump to 26.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | mark zandy is one of those folks he's | 4.24 | Jump to 31.92 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | cut his gdp forecast for the first | 4.719 | Jump to 36.16 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | quarter to 2.2 percent it's pretty steep | 6.08 | Jump to 37.92 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | cut from 5.2 percent and we've had a | 5.041 | Jump to 40.879 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | downgrade i don't know if it's a three | 2.96 | Jump to 52.239 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | later one person or one thing is going | 3.441 | Jump to 102.479 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | be determined one thing i also am | 3.6 | Jump to 107.28 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | past two weeks so it essentially shows a | 4.241 | Jump to 122.399 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | has taken a turn the past two weeks | 3.361 | Jump to 129.039 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        a turn the past two weeks
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | because one of the other measures | 3.04 | Jump to 156.8 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | weekend of november 30th 5.3 percent but | 4.64 | Jump to 166.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | spending was up eight and a half percent | 2.72 | Jump to 194.159 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        eight and a half percent
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | a restaurant less maybe that is one less | 4.0 | Jump to 209.92 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | outfit you bought that is one last | 3.759 | Jump to 211.76 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | bank earnings in the second quarter it's | 3.041 | Jump to 217.519 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | maybe i mean it might right um two | 3.681 | Jump to 226.959 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | things i would bring up first of all is | 3.68 | Jump to 229.36 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | in more detail in a moment 2022 s p 500 | 6.56 | Jump to 263.199 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | earnings per share the estimate is 220 | 6.48 | Jump to 266.4 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 40 220 and 40 cents and it's actually | 6.401 | Jump to 269.759 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | you look at the past six quarters in a | 3.44 | Jump to 288.24 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        the past six quarters
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | undershoot by about 10 so | 3.36 | Jump to 294.16 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | bring on uh january 14th julie i believe | 4.72 | Jump to 305.6 |  |  |