| seven trading days of a year in the | 4.8 | Jump to 9.44 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        seven trading days of a year
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | first two of the new year lpl financial | 4.64 | Jump to 11.36 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | yeah first off thanks for having me back | 3.199 | Jump to 26.08 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | again it is the last five trading days | 4.241 | Jump to 29.279 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | of the year in the first two of the next | 3.921 | Jump to 31.279 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 1.3 | 3.521 | Jump to 38.399 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | on average higher like almost 80 percent | 4.239 | Jump to 39.84 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        PERCENT
                      
                      
                        almost 80 percent
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | know 2000 2008 2016. if you remember the | 6.079 | Jump to 58.16 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | first six weeks of 2016 how bad that was | 3.84 | Jump to 61.92 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        first six weeks of 2016
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | this seven day period is 1.3 percent and | 7.44 | Jump to 76.56 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | things are positive 79 of the time so | 6.159 | Jump to 80.32 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | last stretch of the year first stretch | 3.121 | Jump to 88.799 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | like a lot you know 1.3 that's actually | 4.399 | Jump to 93.36 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | like the best seven-day combination | 4.241 | Jump to 95.759 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | there is or one of the best and up 79 of | 4.32 | Jump to 97.759 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | the time that's one of the most likely | 5.6 | Jump to 100.0 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | of the entire whole year there's 254 | 4.72 | Jump to 102.079 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        the entire whole year
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | again one of the most likely times to be | 3.361 | Jump to 108.159 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | street strategists and where the s p 500 | 5.121 | Jump to 124.399 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | may end next year high in target 53 uh | 5.12 | Jump to 126.479 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 30 by john stolfes at oppenheimer we | 4.0 | Jump to 129.52 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | talked to him yesterday 4 400 in the low | 3.681 | Jump to 131.599 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | range i guess we're saying 5100 on the s | 5.12 | Jump to 139.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | p 500 we just do not see a recession | 4.48 | Jump to 141.28 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | 20 for the year right in the s p that | 4.559 | Jump to 148.4 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | next year has been higher the last nine | 4.879 | Jump to 150.72 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | times seven of them up at least double | 5.601 | Jump to 152.959 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | digits the average return after 20 | 5.92 | Jump to 155.599 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | return is 11 and a half percent putting | 5.52 | Jump to 158.56 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        11 and a half percent
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | this at another level we looked at 30 | 5.44 | Jump to 161.519 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | mid um cycle years going back to 1950 so | 4.0 | Jump to 164.08 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | there's 30 of them that following year | 4.0 | Jump to 169.68 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | this eleven and a half percent on | 3.441 | Jump to 175.599 | 
                      
                        
                      
                        DATE
                      
                      
                        this eleven and a half percent
                      
                     |  | 
              
                
                  | about 80 percent of the time i just | 3.44 | Jump to 179.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | those are the most volatile of the four | 2.96 | Jump to 194.08 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | like this year was but again after 20 | 3.44 | Jump to 197.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | hey and hey ryan one of the other | 3.68 | Jump to 204.4 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | it back a second here look at the last | 3.679 | Jump to 219.2 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | nine times the fed to the first hike in | 3.441 | Jump to 220.959 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | did up 15 on average so it tends to go | 4.559 | Jump to 224.4 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | up before that first hike now that first | 3.279 | Jump to 227.04 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | second half of next year not going to be | 3.601 | Jump to 230.319 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | year the last four times you go back in | 4.0 | Jump to 233.92 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | history guys and you have that first | 3.839 | Jump to 236.48 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | off right when you're first it's the | 2.401 | Jump to 245.519 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | first hike it doesn't mean you're at the | 2.32 | Jump to 246.72 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | panic when the fed has his first rate | 2.96 | Jump to 256.959 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | hike because when you get you know three | 2.639 | Jump to 258.72 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | four rate hikes down the road maybe then | 2.801 | Jump to 259.919 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | tougher but the one that i'd say we've | 3.04 | Jump to 288.32 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | everyone's on one side of the boat again | 3.759 | Jump to 299.44 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | everyone's on one side of the boat | 3.12 | Jump to 304.96 |  |  | 
              
                
                  | right uh the bengals are in first place | 4.72 | Jump to 334.24 |  |  |