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justice kovitt emerged in march of 2020 5.36 Jump to 1.439
    DATE 2020
expert for more than 35 years he was 5.2 Jump to 8.96
    DATE more than 35 years
health in 1984. in this role he has 6.48 Jump to 18.16
    DATE 1984
advised five presidents he led the 5.2 Jump to 21.52
    CARDINAL five
and as you can see from this first slide 5.681 Jump to 72.159
    ORDINAL first
the five six elements that i'm going to 4.32 Jump to 86.96
    CARDINAL five
    CARDINAL six
the first 4.56 Jump to 91.28
    ORDINAL first
next yeah the first is epidemiology next 4.64 Jump to 92.4
    ORDINAL first
of 2020 to now this has emerged 6.561 Jump to 103.759
    DATE 2020
over 100 years with about 275 million 6.48 Jump to 112.56
    DATE 100 years
    CARDINAL about 275 million
cases and over 5 million deaths globally 4.24 Jump to 116.32
    CARDINAL over 5 million
that we are one of the handful of 5.121 Jump to 123.439
50 million cases and just last week 7.121 Jump to 130.399
    CARDINAL 50 million
    DATE just last week
of over 800 000 deaths next slide 7.12 Jump to 137.52
    CARDINAL over 800 000
and if one goes to the far right hand 4.801 Jump to 154.879
of 2021 4.32 Jump to 162.08
    DATE 2021
an rna virus that has four structural 5.761 Jump to 197.519
    CARDINAL four
transmissibility now because of our two 4.72 Jump to 230.0
    CARDINAL two
of this particular virus one 5.92 Jump to 296.96
    CARDINAL one
at least a third and maybe 40 percent 6.16 Jump to 299.36
    CARDINAL at least a third
    PERCENT maybe 40 percent
killing eight hundred thousand people in 4.561 Jump to 313.759
    CARDINAL eight hundred thousand
is that about sixty percent 5.92 Jump to 320.32
    PERCENT about sixty percent
one unique aspect 6.081 Jump to 355.199
81 percent are mild to moderate and 5.12 Jump to 376.96
    PERCENT 81 percent
about 15 to 20 percent 4.8 Jump to 379.44
case fatality rate of anywhere from two 5.679 Jump to 384.24
    CARDINAL two
to three percent up to about 20 percent 4.799 Jump to 386.96
    PERCENT three percent
    PERCENT about 20 percent
one's thoughts next slide 5.68 Jump to 502.4
now we'll just spend a moment or two on 4.72 Jump to 525.6
    CARDINAL two
into two components 5.28 Jump to 530.32
    CARDINAL two
one is to treat the virus itself 5.6 Jump to 532.56
on the saws kobe 2 replication cycle and 4.72 Jump to 575.04
    CARDINAL 2
one can design inhibitors for example of 5.521 Jump to 605.279
the virus one in particular 4.72 Jump to 628.48
remarkable almost 90 percent reduction 6.4 Jump to 640.8
    PERCENT almost 90 percent
if there is one success story 5.841 Jump to 653.519
to deem the development of covet 19 3.92 Jump to 672.56
    CARDINAL 19
three separate platforms you're all 4.16 Jump to 689.44
    CARDINAL three
vaccines in the united states one 5.92 Jump to 702.88
which up until recently had more than 95 6.0 Jump to 759.12
    CARDINAL more than 95
175 countries 3.8 Jump to 773.0
    CARDINAL 175
two times more transmissible than the 4.239 Jump to 788.16
    CARDINAL two
first isolated in southern africa it is 6.56 Jump to 817.519
    ORDINAL first
these two rather complicated looking 4.72 Jump to 840.88
    CARDINAL two
so if you look at all of three these 3.68 Jump to 888.399
    CARDINAL three
three questions 5.2 Jump to 890.48
    CARDINAL three
this is the rolling seven-day average 5.12 Jump to 900.959
    DATE seven-day
over their two doses of for example an 6.4 Jump to 1000.48
    CARDINAL two
21 days after the second dose 5.519 Jump to 1014.32
    DATE 21 days
    ORDINAL second
one month after the third booster shot 5.199 Jump to 1041.6
    DATE one month
    ORDINAL third
square of triangles where it says one 3.361 Jump to 1071.039
    CARDINAL one
and five months after a two dose vaccine 6.8 Jump to 1074.4
    DATE five months
    CARDINAL two
on the left on the one month five months 7.04 Jump to 1088.32
    DATE the one month five months
when you look at two weeks 4.96 Jump to 1100.0
    DATE two weeks
post a dose 2 5.04 Jump to 1102.48
    CARDINAL 2
two weeks after the boost it goes right 3.841 Jump to 1111.919
    DATE two weeks
diminishes to about 33 percent 6.08 Jump to 1132.32
    PERCENT about 33 percent
it's still around 70 percent but that's 4.56 Jump to 1138.4
    PERCENT around 70 percent
from the 93 percent 5.28 Jump to 1142.96
    PERCENT the 93 percent
who have gotten the two dose mrna 5.92 Jump to 1168.48
    CARDINAL two
it goes way down after the second boost 5.44 Jump to 1201.28
    ORDINAL second
compromises the effects of a two-dose 5.76 Jump to 1221.44
    CARDINAL two
for as we enter 2022 and beyond 6.24 Jump to 1285.12
    DATE 2022
eradicate this we've only eradicated one 4.56 Jump to 1298.72
    CARDINAL one
a level of infection that isn't zero 6.481 Jump to 1333.039
    CARDINAL zero
but if i were to pick out one thing that 5.201 Jump to 1437.039
    CARDINAL one
and you have 50 million people in the 3.28 Jump to 1450.72
    CARDINAL 50 million
is killed already over 800 000 americans 7.68 Jump to 1553.52
    CARDINAL over 800 000
said that 60 3.279 Jump to 1639.12
    CARDINAL 60
everybody's having a good time and 50 of 5.52 Jump to 1665.84
    CARDINAL 50
there was one or more person 4.959 Jump to 1673.6
    CARDINAL one
the other thing one can do 4.161 Jump to 1751.279
but vaccinated and boosted people one of 4.4 Jump to 1765.2
right the government has now put out 10 6.319 Jump to 1826.08
    CARDINAL 10
000 centers that are giving away free 4.16 Jump to 1829.2
    CARDINAL 000
have invested 3 billion dollars to make 5.439 Jump to 1833.36
    MONEY 3 billion dollars
200 million 6.081 Jump to 1836.799
    CARDINAL 200 million
to 500 million tests available per month 5.521 Jump to 1838.799
    CARDINAL 500 million
ten thousand ten thousand so 5.36 Jump to 1864.48
    DATE ten thousand ten thousand
uh that post where those ten thousand 5.199 Jump to 1869.84
kids and kids that are aged um two 5.201 Jump to 1945.279
    CARDINAL two
through five years old the most recent 4.321 Jump to 1948.559
    DATE five years old
vaccine for that two to five year old 4.079 Jump to 1959.84
    DATE two to five year old
fisa it was 30 micrograms for the adults 6.079 Jump to 1980.08
    CARDINAL 30
then when it went down to 12 6.0 Jump to 1983.84
    CARDINAL 12
it was i mean 5 to 11 it was 6.081 Jump to 1986.159
    CARDINAL 5
one-third of that which was 4.719 Jump to 1989.84
    CARDINAL one-third
uh three excuse me uh 5.12 Jump to 1992.24
    CARDINAL three
yeah one-third of that which was ten and 5.281 Jump to 1994.559
    CARDINAL one-third
    CARDINAL ten
then it went down to three 3.6 Jump to 1997.36
    CARDINAL three
six months to 24 months it looked good 4.56 Jump to 2004.08
    DATE six months to 24 months
but that lower dose of three micrograms 6.879 Jump to 2008.64
    CARDINAL three
two years old to four plus 5.36 Jump to 2017.12
    DATE two years old
    CARDINAL four
that this is really a three dose vaccine 6.0 Jump to 2026.88
    CARDINAL three
three doses you're going to get an 3.919 Jump to 2032.88
    CARDINAL three
until the end of the first quarter of 7.121 Jump to 2055.119
2022 so instead of getting vaccines 6.799 Jump to 2058.32
for children from six months to four 4.96 Jump to 2062.24
    DATE six months
    CARDINAL four
in the beginning of 2022 it likely will 8.24 Jump to 2067.2
    DATE the beginning of 2022
not be for a few months into 2022 wow 7.921 Jump to 2069.839
    DATE a few months
    DATE 2022
for 15 vaccine preventable diseases when 5.919 Jump to 2086.24
    CARDINAL 15
against saw's kobe 2 to prevent covid 4.079 Jump to 2145.52
    CARDINAL 2
one of the main ways that it's spread 7.52 Jump to 2172.64
    CARDINAL one
apropos what i told you about the 60 4.0 Jump to 2226.079
    CARDINAL 60
uh one is that 4.16 Jump to 2530.0
well as i showed on the last two slides 4.879 Jump to 2586.48
    CARDINAL two
it is impossible that the third shot 5.28 Jump to 2645.76
    ORDINAL third
and maybe an additional one 3.84 Jump to 2651.04
    CARDINAL an additional one
two shots 3.68 Jump to 2656.8
    CARDINAL two
the immunity goes down after six months 3.52 Jump to 2658.0
    DATE six months
that third shot booster is going to make 2.879 Jump to 2665.2
    ORDINAL third
surge 60 surging units paying attention 6.319 Jump to 2726.8
    CARDINAL 60
vaccine that's one of the good things 3.68 Jump to 2846.48
people who have had at least one jnj 5.921 Jump to 2863.119
    CARDINAL at least one
shot be considered for a fourth shot of 5.399 Jump to 2865.44
    ORDINAL fourth
that's one of the things about our 2.32 Jump to 2926.96
2022 3.36 Jump to 2987.44
    DATE 2022
minister of one of my favorite places 5.92 Jump to 2990.8
    CARDINAL one
aruba on january 10th and a headliner 6.24 Jump to 2993.04
    DATE january 10th
discussion on january 13th 5.52 Jump to 3005.92
    DATE january 13th
well answered the first question you 4.0 Jump to 3081.28
    ORDINAL first
christmas because my children my three 4.241 Jump to 3112.559
    CARDINAL three
last year for the first time since their 3.12 Jump to 3119.04
    DATE last year
    ORDINAL first
one final holiday question 5.68 Jump to 3177.76
    CARDINAL one