20 22 outlooks from wall street continue |
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three rate hikes |
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over the last three to six months |
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DATE
the last three to six months
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an unemployment rate but below four |
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|
of environment having rates uh near zero |
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increases that we saw in the second |
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third quarter going into next year but |
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|
|
three and a half percent uh we have that |
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DATE
three and a half percent
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|
it's down 1.7 percentage points over the |
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PERCENT
1.7 percentage points
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five months |
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|
|
at 4.2 percent to get below uh uh four |
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|
|
percent or even three and a half percent |
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|
|
around 3.4 percent even with a little |
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PERCENT
around 3.4 percent
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|
now the inflation we saw in the second |
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and third quarter of this year was |
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slowing uh notable slowing in the first |
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|
|
salty snack category on a two-year basis |
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|
|
we look forward into 2022 i mean we're |
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|
|
look forward into 2022 i think we're |
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|
|
in 2020 but again start to restock their |
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|
continue into uh into 2022 so i'm not |
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|
|
really tough one for most um uh |
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|
|
this one you license out tgi fridays and |
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|
|
foods in uh 2017 |
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|
|
uh one of the uh brand components to |
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|
|
well into the 200 million plus uh retail |
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|
|
first but a lot of opportunity on both |
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|
|
throughout uh 2021 um you know in early |
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|
|
2021 we kind of assumed and uh were able |
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|
|
around four percent uh and it really |
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PERCENT
around four percent
|
|
in in february of 2022 as well just as a |
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|
|
2022 more so than 2021 and we've got |
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|
|
parts of our 2022 plant as we go forward |
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|
|
slate of innovation in 2022 despite that |
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|
|
well after two years of you know i would |
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|
|
your innovation day and and one thing we |
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|
|
4.0 what is that and when will it start |
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|
|
well we unveiled x-pilot 4.0 at our tech |
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|
|
that will be upgraded by early 2023 |
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|
|
our fourth product which is you know the |
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|
|
is to use x pilot 4.0 to enable |
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|
|
vehicles 427 |
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|
|
000 cars that's 19 and a half percent of |
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DATE
19 and a half percent
|
|
roughly five percent penetration and as |
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PERCENT
roughly five percent
|
|
close to 19 so that's a dramatic |
4.88 |
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|
|
15 to 18 months and this is not just uh |
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|
|
you know two to three years ago and this |
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DATE
two to three years ago
|
|
producing zero emission vehicles but |
4.72 |
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|
|
so one of the things that we're very |
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|
|
in about five minutes is that right and |
3.519 |
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|
|
technology will be in our fourth product |
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|
|
be start delivering the second half of |
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|
|
powertrain design that enable uh 480 |
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|
|
allows to you to charge up to 200 |
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|
|
kilometers in about five minutes that |
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|
|
energy sector in 2022 and even in 2023 |
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|
|
is one of our favorite sectors exactly |
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|
|
as it was in 2021 uh we do believe that |
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|
|
we're targeting prices closer to 85 88 |
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|
|
dollars for 2022 |
5.36 |
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|
|
uh somewhere between 80 to 85 and 2023 |
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DATE
between 80 to 85 and 2023
|
|
reality for oil is that 60 of oil is |
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|
|
everybody wants to travel yes for two |
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|
|
so that's number one in the case of the |
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|
|
and natasha i have one more question on |
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|
|
for 2022 are we anywhere near that kind |
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|
|
so 85 88 dollars that we're not going to |
4.561 |
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|
|
far with the unemployment rate at 4.2 |
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|
|
so the two favorite sectors on our team |
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|
|
is actually energy that's number one and |
4.72 |
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|
|
agriculture sector number two |
4.32 |
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|
|
general number one is it is definitely |
4.08 |
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|
|
agriculture number two is what is |
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|
|
going into 2022. |
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|
|
some extent even 2023. |
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|
|
if you're bullish on one sector by |
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|
|
it's copper is one of the methods where |
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|
|
time we had prices you know above seven |
5.681 |
Jump to 1671.679 |
|
|
thousand dollar copper that was in 2017 |
5.52 |
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|
|
and 2018 with so significant amount of |
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|
|
investment it was like 30 billion |
2.88 |
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|
|
yes 2017 2018. all those projects will |
5.681 |
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|
|
in 2021 2022 2023 and 2024 so it's |
6.88 |
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|
|
almost 2 million tons in the 20 million |
4.479 |
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QUANTITY
almost 2 million tons
|
|
actually the first time we turned |
3.44 |
Jump to 1720.64 |
|
|
bullish on gold was november 2017 when |
3.12 |
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|
|
2020 since then we're holding a bearish |
6.04 |
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|
|
the fatty is expecting three hikes in |
3.6 |
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|
|
2022 |
4.08 |
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|
|
to average about 1550 by the end of next |
4.561 |
Jump to 1758.159 |
|
|
bolero at 2.6 billion dollars bolero was |
5.76 |
Jump to 1786.799 |
MONEY
2.6 billion dollars
|
|
founded in 1997 when entrepreneur tom |
4.399 |
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|
|
1938 today the company has hundreds of |
4.801 |
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|
|
last eight years have been growing at |
4.321 |
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|
|
more than five percent uh which is you |
4.88 |
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PERCENT
more than five percent
|
|
cost to two-thirds of our revenue so |
4.24 |
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|
|
sold and that results in about a 50 |
5.281 |
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|
|
we are eight times larger than the |
4.0 |
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|
|
number two bowling player in the world |
3.921 |
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|
|
and yet we only have about seven percent |
5.12 |
Jump to 1864.64 |
PERCENT
about seven percent
|
|
you know up more than 20 percent that's |
5.12 |
Jump to 1897.36 |
PERCENT
more than 20 percent
|
|
in the last six months i think on order |
4.561 |
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|
|
of about 30 new locations and a pipeline |
6.24 |
Jump to 1912.799 |
|
|
of probably 30 more behind that so |
5.439 |
Jump to 1915.6 |
|
|
seven percent market share in the us |
4.239 |
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|
|
two years three years |
4.0 |
Jump to 1954.24 |
DATE
two years three years
|
|
well we only have about seven percent |
5.12 |
Jump to 1956.32 |
PERCENT
about seven percent
|
|
u.s market share there are 3 500 |
5.2 |
Jump to 1958.24 |
|
|
and i think we're right around 320 |
3.679 |
Jump to 1969.6 |
|
|
could be 700 in north america in the |
4.24 |
Jump to 1975.2 |
|
|
next five years |
2.48 |
Jump to 1977.84 |
|
|
and there's also probably 200 new build |
5.359 |
Jump to 1988.32 |
|
|
two give us a lot of growth vectors |
5.92 |
Jump to 1995.84 |
|
|
think pre covered we're doing about 92 |
4.881 |
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|
|
million dollars just of league revenue |
4.16 |
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|
|
um that's one way that we show we're |
3.681 |
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|
|
and we took that one location from a |
4.401 |
Jump to 2136.079 |
|
|
million dollars a year in revenue to 15 |
4.16 |
Jump to 2138.0 |
|
|
million in revenue it was the highest |
4.0 |
Jump to 2140.48 |
|
|
300 locations and growing |
5.041 |
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|
|
236. and it will never happen again |
5.521 |
Jump to 2163.119 |
|
|
crypto in fact i got a gift back in 2014 |
5.121 |
Jump to 2215.599 |
|
|
that first step into crypto um it's also |
5.2 |
Jump to 2245.76 |
|
|
on 12 22. um you can send as little as |
4.879 |
Jump to 2254.72 |
|
|
one dollar worth of the seven |
3.36 |
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|
|
this because we do have 22 million u.s |
3.441 |
Jump to 2305.359 |
|
|
last time we chatted i think it was 1.6 |
4.079 |
Jump to 2345.04 |
|
|
million on the wait list for that talk |
3.601 |
Jump to 2347.359 |
|
|
next year yeah we have over 1.6 million |
5.28 |
Jump to 2352.88 |
CARDINAL
over 1.6 million
|
|
users were first time um |
4.4 |
Jump to 2378.56 |
|
|
we've seen over 2021 with crypto |
4.88 |
Jump to 2439.92 |
|
|
saw 60 of our active or our funded |
5.441 |
Jump to 2451.119 |
|
|
insights into which one of these cryptos |
3.44 |
Jump to 2487.28 |
|
|
fact that crypto has been the 2021 story |
4.48 |
Jump to 2493.52 |
|
|
and which one's gonna be targeted the |
2.64 |
Jump to 2500.24 |
|
|
though for crypto in 2022 what are you |
3.92 |
Jump to 2548.8 |
|
|
but i think one thing that is really |
3.119 |
Jump to 2568.72 |
|
|
is is web 3 and and what kind of utility |
5.681 |
Jump to 2571.839 |
|
|
in for the first time um and we've also |
4.0 |
Jump to 2598.72 |
|
|
fact holds true a third of truck miles |
5.44 |
Jump to 2734.24 |
|
|
uh one thing i will say is that in the |
4.4 |
Jump to 2770.48 |
|
|
let's back up a sec why are a third of |
5.28 |
Jump to 2843.68 |
|
|
if not a third of trucks a third of the |
2.96 |
Jump to 2848.96 |
|
|
uh number of reasons so one uh |
7.281 |
Jump to 2857.359 |
|
|
actually extremely siloed uh no one's |
4.0 |
Jump to 2886.079 |
|
|
system so when we say a third of truck |
4.16 |
Jump to 2894.48 |
|
|
you know but one thing that continues to |
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Jump to 2922.079 |
|
|
to keep in touch because one thing we |
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|
|
going to close in the first part of next |
3.76 |
Jump to 2979.68 |
|
|