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yeah so a couple things one on the front 4.32 Jump to 42.399
really over the course of the past three 4.72 Jump to 49.28
    DATE the past
about the three year point the five year 4.96 Jump to 108.24
    DATE three year
    DATE the five year
and at this stage i would say the three 4.32 Jump to 122.399
    CARDINAL three
to five year segment uh is is very 5.039 Jump to 123.92
    DATE five year
probably not happening in 2022 for us so 6.72 Jump to 162.72
    DATE 2022
one uh the fed pivot got priced in so 4.879 Jump to 178.72
    CARDINAL one
with the past three to six months we'll 3.121 Jump to 225.519
    DATE the past three to six months
dollar in the in the first half of next 3.76 Jump to 228.64
    DATE the first half of
well um i i would kind of highlight two 4.8 Jump to 243.519
    CARDINAL two
that ends at about one and a half 4.0 Jump to 250.239
    CARDINAL about one and a half
under 23 and then flat lines from there 5.28 Jump to 254.239
    DATE under 23
think about the two tail scenarios one 5.361 Jump to 257.519
    CARDINAL two
    CARDINAL one
let's say to two and a half percent over 3.759 Jump to 264.72
    DATE two and a half percent
the course of the next 12 to 18 months 4.24 Jump to 266.32
    DATE the next 12 to 18 months
that's one form of freight shock the 3.841 Jump to 268.479
    CARDINAL one
probability do you put on these two tail 5.201 Jump to 287.199
    CARDINAL two
you think going into 2022 3.76 Jump to 309.36
    DATE 2022
the biggest risk in 22 is is 5.92 Jump to 313.44
    DATE 22
inflation in the first half of the year 4.16 Jump to 323.759
    DATE the first half of the year
target by 2023 uh you know we don't want 5.681 Jump to 327.919
    DATE 2023
two to three hikes next year doesn't 3.119 Jump to 340.8
    CARDINAL two to three
    DATE next year
of early 2018 if you think back uh when 4.96 Jump to 367.12
    DATE early 2018